Daily analysis, December 17
I’ve got my friend Scott in to do my job for me today. How will he fare?
Matthew looked so strong yesterday! But he’s come down to Earth today, Gdansk-ing his way to a third-place position before Final.
Matthew Church: 5,400
Sandy Howard: 7,800
Debbie Singer: 9,000
How savvy will our wagerers be?
Debbie should wager 6,600 to lock out Sandy.
Sandy should wager 3,000 to lock out Matthew. If she wants to wager more, she can go up to 5,400 to stay above Debbie if they’re both wrong and Debbie wagers properly.
Matthew should wager no more than 600 so as not to fall below Sandy if everyone is wrong.
When Rule #3 doesn’t come into play – no player can improve his or her wager simply by covering another – there might be some mind games afoot.
Does Sandy think Matthew will wager properly? Or does she think they both might miss the clue? If so, Sandy can go for the alternative wager: no more than 1,800, but at least 1,200 to cover a zero by Debbie.
Matthew, on the other hand, might notice that no matter what, he will lose if both he and Sandy go “small”. If Matthew is indeed scared of this, he should wager at least 2,400 to cover Sandy’s zero wager, but no more than 3,000, so as not to fall below Debbie.
Wow! Solid wagering, people. (Note that Sandy would have benefitted from a small wager here, but I don’t blame her for doing what she did. More on that very soon.)
Great job, Scott, eh? He’ll be taking over for me full-time.
The Final Jeopardy! clue for December 17, 2013:
CLASSICAL MUSIC
“ROYAL MARCH OF THE LION”, “THE AQUARIUM” & “THE AVIARY” ARE THEMATICALLY RELATED 1886 WORKS FROM THIS MAN
Correct response: Who was Camille Saint-Saëns?