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November 2, 2015

Monday, November 2, 2015

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Things I like:

Things I don’t like:

  • when Daylight Saving Time ends and I have to wear bright colors for a 5:00 p.m. run
  • when people don’t wager properly

Marcus very nearly took this one down before Final, but our returning champ has a shot:

Katie

Walker

Christine

Qualey

Marcus

Lewis

8,200 6,100 15,400

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

WORLD GEOGRAPHY

 

First-order calculations

This one’s easy: Katie has to get it right to have a shot, so she should wager everything. Marcus can wager up to 3,200 to stay above a double-up by Christine.

Christine should play for second place; wagering zero is totally fine.

Katie
Christine
Marcus
8,200 6,100 15,400
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,200 1,000 3,200

What actually happened

Katie Christine Marcus
8,200 6,100 15,400
4,100 3,900 1,001
12,300 10,000 14,399
min max
8,200 1,001 3,199

Yikes. Looks like Katie decided to play for second place.

This is a violation of perhaps my most important rule: if you have to get it right to have a chance to win, just wager everything. (It also does call into question my advice to max out your wager as the leader on the assumption your opponents will wager rationally.)

We’ll see what Marcus does with his second chance at life tomorrow.The Final Wager – November 2, 2015

The Final Jeopardy! clue

WORLD GEOGRAPHY
THIS COUNTRY HAS 8 OF THE WORLD’S 10 HIGHEST PEAKS

[spoiler]What is Nepal?[/spoiler]

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One Comment
  1. Christine Qualey permalink

    Excellent analysis! Happy to have found your website – better late than never

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