Monday, January 25, 2016
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I hope that you all had a good weekend – and if you’re on the east coast, that you’re getting back to normal.
Fred is back and looks more confident tonight. He’s almost got it locked up heading into Final.
|
Fred Vaughn (1x) |
Steven Wolfe |
Adrien Schless-Meier |
| 16,800 | 7,200 | 9,200 |
Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:
| FICTIONAL COUPLES |
Easy one tonight.
First-order calculations
Fred should wager 1,601 to cover Adrien – but if he’s feeling risky, he can go for up to 2,399 to keep Steven locked out.
| Fred |
Steven |
Adrien | |||
| 16,800 | 7,200 | 9,200 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 1,600 | 2,400 | 6,000* | |||
However…
What actually happened
| Fred | Steven | Adrien | |||
| 16,800 | 7,200 | 9,200 | |||
| 3,500 | 7,200 | 9,200 | |||
| 20,300 | 0 | 0 | |||
| min | max | ||||
| 1,601 | 2,399 | 9,200 | |||
Fred wagered too much, allowing Steven a shot back into it. (I wouldn’t have wagered everything as Steven, but maybe he knew something I didn’t?)
I recently ran the stats and found it’s very unusual for a leader to ‘resuscitate’ the chances of a player who’s mathematically eliminated. I wouldn’t see this as more than an outlier, as a opportunity for a small amount of additional cash doesn’t outweigh the increased probability of losing.
In any case, Fred has the money – $36,300 total – and two wins in the bag.
The Final Jeopardy! clue
| FICTIONAL COUPLES |
| AMONG THE GUESTS ATTENDING THEIR ANNIVERSARY PARTY IN 2005 CELEBRATING 75 YEARS WERE DICK TRACY, DILBERT & DENNIS THE MENACE |
[spoiler]Who are Dagwood & Blondie Bumstead?[/spoiler]
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