Wagering practice – Defeat from the jaws of victory
Want to see how you’re doing after watching Part One of my tutorial? Here’s another sample scenario.
What are your thoughts on these wagers?
Click here for the answer!
(Thanks to the J! Archive and Scott Chvatal)
Answers to Wednesday’s scenario:
(click to view as a slideshow)
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- (1/5) We’ll ignore Pat for now. Tom has 20,000 and Ryan has 15,900. What should each of them do?
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- (2/5) Rule #1: Ryan can have at most 31,800 (if he wagers everything and gets it correct). This means Tom will need to wager at least 11,800 to tie or beat this total.
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- (3/5) Rule #2: Ryan looks at what happens if Tom gets it wrong and wagers properly. In this case, Tom will have at most 8,200. To stay at or above this total, Ryan must wager no more than 7,700.
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- (4/5) Rule #3: Tom might wager zero, hoping for a miss or a small wager by Ryan. To account for this, Ryan would need to wager at least 4,100. This works with his maximum wager of 7,700.
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- (5/5) To maximize his chances of returning the next day, Tom should wager 11,800. Ryan should wager between 4,100 and 7,700.
Keith! How could Nichole have wagered anything there? Was it a day one of a two day event? I guess it would say so if that was the case so I’ll assume no.
And in that case, she should just wager zero and move to the next day with her winnings! The 2nd competitor positioned herself nicely, she allows herself to wager it all and then pretty much lock the 1st place player in to a wager of zero. I’m surprised Nichole didn’t do so, its a great spot in final jeop wagers and I always enjoy those ones.
Chris – this was a regular game. Color me shocked!
Your analysis is spot-on.