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May 7, 2014

Battle of the Decades preview: QF #3

Battle of the Decades – knockout rounds
Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 1 2
preliminary round

Three gentlemen on the stage this evening. Which decade will take our middle quarterfinal?

Jeopardy! Battle of the Decades Wednesday quarterfinal

This is a tough one, even on paper. Brad and Dan are both very strong, and Mark had a good showing in the preliminaries. I’m going to go with Brad.

My one concern with Brad is that he might try to keep his “never lost to a human” streak alive and go for the lock-out in a close, high-scoring game, only to miss and knock himself out of contention. Dan has shown much more restraint in the past and this might play to his advantage.

Mark Lowenthal

Mark won from third place in his preliminary-round game on a very good, conservative wager.

BOTD prelims (02/06/14)

Phoebe Frank Mark
17,100 14,000 10,400

Proper wager: 0 – 3,200
Actual wager: 1,400

In his TOC quarterfinal, he aimed for a wild card score of 8,800, equal to 17,600 in today’s dollars.

TOC quarterfinal (11/11/88) [pre-doubling]

Ron Mark Leah
9,500 6,400 4,000

Wager: 2,400

Brad Rutter

Brad needed to get the last clue to lock out Mike – and good thing, too, as he missed Final while his sole opponent got it right. This is why Jeopardy! is such a volatile game!

BOTD prelims (03/07/14)

Brad Mike Jill
30,600 14,300 0

Actual wager: 0

He had a lock in his TOC quarterfinal, and took the win into his own hands in the Million Dollar Masters.

TOC quarterfinal (10/25/01) [pre-doubling]

Brad Doug Bob
18,000 5,300 2,500

Wager: 0

Million Dollar Masters quarterfinal (05/02/02)

Brad Claudia Kate
17,800 12,400 4,200

Wager: 7,001

Dan Pawson

Dan took issue with my wagering analysis from his preliminary-round game, a shootout against Maria Wenglinsky. He was then kind enough to answer some of my questions.

BOTD prelims (04/04/14)

Maria Dan Keith
18,100 15,700 4,200

Proper wager: 4,800 – 6,100
Alternate wager: 10,900 or 2,400 – 2,499
Actual wager: 3,000

Here’s a savvy wager in his TOC QF, aiming to lock out the third-place Cora. (She was the only one to get Final, but held back 1,000, finishing in second.) Maybe we’ll see something similar tonight.

TOC quarterfinal (03/11/09)

Dan Carl Cora
16,800 12,400 8,500

Wager: 201

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