Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
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Hunter aims to join superchamp territory tonight. Will fatigue begin to set in?
Sort of, but he was able to power into the lead on what turned out to be the Penultimate Clue.
|
Hunter Appler (5x) |
Beth Masterson |
Sarah von Riedemann |
| 10,000 | 2,000 | 8,300 |
Beth is still alive with this Final Jeopardy! category:
| CLASSIC MOVIE SCENES |
There was a clue tonight covered in one of my TDIH posts, but I can’t remember what it was right now.
First-order calculations
Here’s where things stand after the first order:
| Hunter |
Beth |
Sarah | |||
| 10,000 | 2,000 | 8,300 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 6,600 | 1,400* | 4,300 | |||
| 6,000 | |||||
Second-order calculations
Some Shoretegic possibilities between Hunter and Sarah:
| Hunter |
Beth |
Sarah | |||
| 10,000 | 2,000 | 8,300 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 6,600 | 1,400* | 4,300 | |||
| 2,600 | 6,000 | 900 | |||
Zero wagers
Score differences:
Hunter and Sarah: 1,700
Hunter and Beth: 8,000
Sarah and Beth: 6,300
| Hunter |
Beth |
Sarah | |||
| 10,000 | 2,000 | 8,300 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 6,600 | 1,400* | 3,400 | 4,300 | ||
| 2,600 | 3,400 | 900 | |||
| 1,700 | |||||
Then we add a dollar to the minimum wagers, and subtract a dollar from the maximum wagers.
What actually happened
| Hunter | Beth | Sarah | |||
| 10,000 | 2,000 | 8,300 | |||
| 6,601 | 1,300 | 8,300 | |||
| 16,601 | 3,300 | 16,600 | |||
| min | max | min | max | ||
| 6,601 | 1,401* | 3,401 | 4,299 | ||
| 2,601 | 3,399 | 899 | |||
| 1,699 | |||||
C’mon, writers – these slam dunk clues are embarrassing.
Note that had Hunter missed, he would have had 3,399, which is still more than Beth’s total. Thus, she gets the gray.
Hunter has now won 6 games and $145,603 – and he’s back tomorrow! (After the lunch break… dun dun dun)
The Final Jeopardy! clue
| CLASSIC MOVIE SCENES |
| THE DIRECTOR SAID IT TOOK 70 CAMERA SETUPS & 7 DAYS TO SHOOT THE CLASSIC MURDER SCENE IN THIS FILM THAT CELEBRATED ITS 55th ANNIV. IN 2015 |
