Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Friday, May 27, 2016

[php snippet=66]

Buzzy’s looking to move into his third week. Will he become the sixth player to make it to double digits in the win column?

For the first time since his second game (fully a month ago in real time!), he’s trailing.

Buzzy Cohen (9x)	Erin Delaney	Megan Hauser
12,200	16,400	7,200

And the category is right up Erin’s alley:

19th CENTURY NOVELS

Wow! Some analysis!

One thing I forgot to mention in the video: Alex loves asking contestants if they know the name of the X-Files episode he was on. He did it last season, too.

First-order calculations

Buzzy has a tight range to play it safe, while Megan has to go all in.

Buzzy		Erin		Megan
12,200		16,400		7,200
FIRST-ORDER		SECOND-ORDER		COVER ZERO
min	max	min	max	min	max
2,200	3,800	8,000		1,200*
			2,000

Second-order calculations

Some mind games are in play.

Buzzy		Erin		Megan
12,200		16,400		7,200
FIRST-ORDER		SECOND-ORDER		COVER ZERO
min	max	min	max	min	max
2,200	3,800	8,000		1,200*
4,600*			400

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Erin and Buzzy: 4,200
Erin and Megan: 9,200
Buzzy and Megan: 5,000

Buzzy		Erin		Megan
12,200		16,400		7,200
FIRST-ORDER		SECOND-ORDER		COVER ZERO
min	max	min	max	min	max
2,200	3,800	8,000		5,000*
8,400*			400

Just to be safe, we add the zero-cover wagers…

What actually happened

Buzzy		Erin		Megan
12,200		16,400		7,200
8,000		8,001		7,000
20,200		24,401		14,200
min	max	min	max
2,201	3,799	8,001		7,200
12,200			399

A well-played game by Erin, and a great run out of Buzzy. We’ll see him back in the ToC! Have a great long weekend.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

19th CENTURY NOVELS

THE GOLD BUG, EDGAR ALLAN POE’S STORY ABOUT THE SEARCH FOR CAPTAIN KIDD’S BURIED LOOT, HELPED INSPIRE THIS 1883 NOVEL

[spoiler]What is Treasure Island?[/spoiler]

[php snippet=66]