Friday, October 30, 2015
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We have a special guest host tonight!
Please welcome Cyril Figgis from FX’s Archer! We have some numbers to work with tonight, so good thing he happens to be a kick-ass accountant.
All three players had fun, despite the multitude of triple stumpers. (Trust me, I know how terrible that feeling is when no one can get anything going.)
Nikki took the lead on the penultimate clue.
|
Nikki Grillos |
Katie Walker |
Justin Morales |
| 6,200 | 6,000 | 1,800 |
Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:
| COLLEGES & UNIVERSITIES |
Let’s do some math!
First-order calculations
Nikki needs to go almost all-in to cover Katie, but Katie can remain small to stay above Justin. This is Shore’s Conjecture – Strong Form.
| Nikki |
Katie |
Justin | |||
| 6,200 | 6,000 | 1,800 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 5,800 | 2,400 | 1,400 | |||
| 5,600 | |||||
Second-order calculations
Nikki could cap her wager at 2,200 to cover Katie’s maximum Shoretegic wager, but Katie could then reduce her own wager.
| Nikki |
Katie |
Justin | |||
| 6,200 | 6,000 | 1,800 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 5,800 | 2,000 | 1,400 | |||
| 2,200 | 2,400 | ||||
| 5,600 | |||||
Zero wagers
Score differences:
Nikki and Katie: 200
Nikki and Justin: 4,400
Katie and Justin: 4,200
| Nikki |
Katie |
Justin | |||
| 6,200 | 6,000 | 1,800 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 5,800 | 400 | 2,000 | 1,400 | ||
| 2,200 | 4,400 | 2,400 | |||
| 200 | 5,600 | ||||
Then we add a dollar to the minimum wagers, and subtract a dollar from the maximum wagers.
What actually happened
| Nikki | Katie | Justin | |||
| 6,200 | 6,000 | 1,800 | |||
| 5,801 | 1,000 | 1,698 | |||
| 399 | 5,000 | 102 | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 5,801 | 401 | 1,999 | 1,399 | ||
| 2,201 | 4,399 | 2,399 | |||
| 199 | 5,599 | ||||
As it turns out, getting that last clue ended up dooming Nikki.
The leader wins 75% of the time – this was one of those times it didn’t work out.
Happy Halloween!
The Final Jeopardy! clue
| COLLEGES & UNIVERSITIES |
| FOUNDED IN 1873, IT WAS ENDOWED BY & NAMED FOR THE RICHEST MAN IN AMERICA |
[spoiler]What is Vanderbilt University?[/spoiler]
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Carnegie Mellon is a poor guess because it is not named after one (“the richest man”) person. CMU is named in honor of Andrew Carnegie, the steel magnate, and the Mellon family, primarily Andrew and Richard. But, if you are desperate, going with something is better than going with nothing. My guess was Rockefeller University (founded in 1901). So I would have just gotten it wrong a different way.
True, better something than nothing (I think that’s the ‘Auschwitz rule’ after Louis Virtel’s response). And my guess was Duke, because I knew the founder was pretty rich!