The Final Wager – Thu 27 Nov 2014

previous week					same week					following week
3	4	5	6	7	24	25	26	27	28	8	9	10	11	12

I’m almost done developing my new calculation process – and this is a good night to test it out.

Happy Thanksgiving! Our players filled their plates early in the game, and had little room left in the second round. Except for Aggie, that is – she came out of nowhere toward the end.

Aggie Lee: 12,600
Michelle Chick: 11,000
David Greisman: 7,600

The Final Jeopardy! category: BODIES OF WATER

I’ll explain these calculations in greater detail in the video and probably in writing later, but for now, a brief overview of the new process.

First-order analysis

We look at how each player reacts to double-ups by second and third, and the logical responses to those lockout wagers.

Second-order analysis

Next, we look at what someone ahead should do if a trailer wagers the logical maximum from the first-order analysis. (We could repeat this ad infinitum, but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves.)

Zero wagers

Finally, we take opponents’ zero wagers into account. If you’re behind, if possible, you want to cover a zero and an “unsafe” wager by those in front of you; if you’re in front, you often want to compel a trailer to get it right to have a shot to beat you.

When we’re done with that, we add a dollar to each minimum wager, and subtract a dollar from each maximum wager.

What actually happened

4,000 twice over? Paging Sarah McNitt!

David got off to a really good start with his unorthodox buzzing technique. In the end, however, it came down to a solo get on Final. The good wagering earns points with me.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

BODIES OF WATER

FIRST ENCOUNTERED IN 1648 BY A MAN BORN IN RUSSIA, IT WAS EVENTUALLY NAMED AFTER A MAN BORN IN DENMARK

[spoiler]What is the Bering Strait?[/spoiler]

 

previous week					same week					following week
3	4	5	6	7	24	25	26	27	28	8	9	10	11	12