Wednesday, September 23, 2015
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Tonight, I’m grateful my dad doesn’t like nice scotch.
Here are our scores heading into Final:
|
Dylan Parson |
Austin Yates |
Barbara Gao |
| 13,500 | 10,600 | 7,800 |
Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:
| HISTORIC LEGISLATION |
Make sure you figure out what each player should wager before watching tonight’s video.
First-order calculations
Austin is ever-so-slightly in Stratton’s Dilemma, meaning he has to pick between covering Barbara and staying above a lockout by Dylan.
| Dylan |
Austin |
Barbara | |||
| 13,500 | 10,600 | 7,800 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 7,700 | 5,000* | 2,000 | |||
| 4,800 | |||||
| 2,100 | |||||
Second-order calculations
If Barbara is scared of a smaller wager from either of the players in front of her, she could be justified in wagering everything, but I don’t like it.
| Dylan |
Austin |
Barbara | |||
| 13,500 | 10,600 | 7,800 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 7,700 | 5,000* | 2,000 | |||
| 4,800 | |||||
| 2,100 | 3,700 | 800 | 3,600* | ||
Zero wagers
Score differences:
Dylan and Austin: 2,900
Dylan and Barbara: 5,700
Austin and Barbara: 2,800
| Dylan |
Austin |
Barbara | |||
| 13,500 | 10,600 | 7,800 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 7,700 | 11,400 | 5,000* | 2,000 | ||
| 2,900 | 4,800 | ||||
| 2,100 | 3,700 | 800 | 5,700* | ||
Then we add a dollar to the minimum wagers, and subtract a dollar from the maximum wagers.
What actually happened
| Dylan | Austin | Barbara | |||
| 13,500 | 10,600 | 7,800 | |||
| 5,700 | 8,000 | 7,800 | |||
| 19,200 | 18,600 | 15,600 | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 7,701 | 11,399 | 10,600* | 1,999 | ||
| 2,901 | 4,799 | ||||
| 2,101 | 3,699 | 799 | 7,800 | ||
Those of you who have watched for a while will remember this rule: if you have to get it right to have a shot at winning, you might as well wager everything. Austin learned why tonight.
Dylan ekes out his second victory for a total of $24,599.
The Final Jeopardy! clue
| HISTORIC LEGISLATION |
| IN 1820 JEFFERSON CALLED THIS BILL “THE KNELL OF THE UNION”, SAYING “A GEOGRAPHICAL LINE… WILL NEVER BE OBLITERATED” |
[spoiler]What is the Missouri Compromise?[/spoiler]
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Two comments:
The Jewish holiday today is Yom Kippur (you were 9 days off).
I think Barbara was justified in going all-in because your recommended $2,000 maximum wager doesn’t cover a zero wager by Austin (which is plausible that he’d bet that if he’s not concerned about covering Dylan’s zero wager and wants to take the “small” option).
Thanks for catching that mistake – guess the scotch had gone to my head.
I was wavering between orange and pink for Barbara. Too bad I don’t give half-colors!
Do you have any idea why the College Championship and the Teen Tournament didn’t appear in Season 31?
My understanding is they wanted to limit potential future leaked information after the North Korean hack.