Wednesday, January 13, 2016
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As of late, it has helped to not get too emotionally attached to champions… will that come to an end soon?
Not looking great tonight: again, Amelia trails heading into Final. (This time, however, all-in is an acceptable wager.)
|
Amelia Hershberger |
Len Mucci |
Megan Metcalf |
| 9,400 | 2,400 | 12,800 |
Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:
| 20th CENTURY LITERATURE |
Now, on to the analysis.
First-order calculations
Amelia can stay above Megan if they’re both wrong…
| Amelia |
Len |
Megan | |||
| 9,400 | 2,400 | 12,800 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 2,600 | 6,000 | 8,000 | |||
Second-order calculations
…but she doesn’t have enough to cover a zero wager, so mind games are in play. (The trailer should almost always go small here, despite what expected value tells you.)
| Amelia |
Len |
Megan | |||
| 9,400 | 2,400 | 12,800 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 2,600 | 6,000 | 8,000 | |||
| 4,200* | 800 | ||||
What actually happened
| Amelia | Len | Megan | |||
| 9,400 | 2,400 | 12,800 | |||
| 6,400 | 2,399 | 6,001 | |||
| 15,800 | 4,799 | 6,799 | |||
| min | max | min | max | ||
| 2,599 | 6,001 | 7,999 | |||
| 9,400 | 799 | ||||
We saw something similar last Wednesday: a player might as well have gone for broke but left money on the table. This time, it cost someone, as Amelia rang up $3,000 less than what she could have taken home.
Amelia has now won 2 games and $37,000. Will she fall victim to food coma on Thursday, as several recent champs have appeared to do?
The Final Jeopardy! clue
| 20th CENTURY LITERATURE |
| FOR FACTUAL DETAILS, THE AUTHOR OF THIS 1972 TALE DREW ON A BOOK CALLED “THE PRIVATE LIFE OF THE RABBIT” |
[spoiler]What is Watership Down?[/spoiler]
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