Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Tuesday, May 3, 2016 (Teachers QF #2)

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Order has returned to the universe! My television is back on the left side of your screen.

Jason’s Antepenultimate Wager was… interesting. Now we’ll have to see how he and Nicole handle this situation, courtesy of the wild cards.

Greg Greenzweig	Jason Sterlacci	Nicole Throckmorton
6,400	20,000	10,000

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

U.S. MEMORIALS

Suggested wagers

Based on past non-winning scores in Teachers Tournament quarterfinals.

	Greg	Jason	Nicole
	6,400	20,000	10,000
20% confidence	6,400	0 or 1	2,800
30% confidence	6,400	0 or 1	2,800
40% confidence	6,400	0 or 1	2,800
50% confidence	6,400	0 or 1	9,300
60% confidence	6,400	0 or 1	9,300
70% confidence	6,400	0 or 1	9,300
80% confidence	6,400	0 or 1	9,900

The strange thing is my calculator actually does recommend 2,800 for Nicole, independent of Greg’s amount.

What actually happened

Greg		Jason		Nicole
6,400		20,000		10,000
6,400		1,000		5,000
0		19,000		5,000

This Final clue, as written, belonged in the ToC. It’s a shame the luck of the draw had to penalize Nicole and Greg – but them’s the breaks, I suppose.

Quarterfinal winners:

1. Chris Tempro
2. Jason Sterlacci

Wild-card race:

1. Lauren Gilmore – 11,000 (90%)
2. Nicole Throckmorton – 5,000 (30%)
3. Dianne Lee – 100 (<1%)
4. Greg Greenzweig – 0 (<1%)

Percentage represents probability of advancing based on past Teachers Tournament data.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

U.S. MEMORIALS

SYMBOLIC BOOKENDS, THESE 2 NEIGHBORING MEMORIALS MARK THE BEGINNING & END OF U.S. INVOLVEMENT IN WORLD WAR II

[spoiler]What are the U.S.S. Arizona (sunk at Pearl Harbor) and the U.S.S. Missouri (where the Japanese surrender was signed)?[/spoiler]

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