Wednesday, January 27, 2016

[php snippet=47]

A good friend – and LearnedLeague rookie-rundle champion – joins me on Wednesday’s episode, as Fred Vaughn looks to break our drought of four-timers.

This was a well-fought game – but the wagering situation is going to cause some headaches.

Fred Vaughn (3x)	Colin West	Bianca Hegedus
10,600	11,200	7,000

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

THE EMMYS

Not good news for either of us on the video.

First-order calculations

Colin has to go big to cover Fred (who is almost certainly not wagering everything, but still – do you want to take that chance?).

Bianca probably needs to get it right and wager something, but that’s not as cut-and-dried as we’d like it to be.

Fred		Colin		Bianca
10,600		11,200		7,000
FIRST-ORDER		SECOND-ORDER		COVER ZERO
min	max	min	max	min	max
3,400	9,400	10,000		1,400	5,800
		2,800

Second-order calculations

I guess Colin could go for 8,801, so Fred and Bianca should close their ranges a bit.

Fred		Colin		Bianca
10,600		11,200		7,000
FIRST-ORDER		SECOND-ORDER		COVER ZERO
min	max	min	max	min	max
3,400	8,200	10,000		1,400	4,600
	9,400	8,800			5,800
		2,800

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Colin and Fred: 600
Colin and Bianca: 4,200
Fred and Bianca: 3,600

Fred		Colin		Bianca
10,600		11,200		7,000
FIRST-ORDER		SECOND-ORDER		COVER ZERO
min	max	min	max	min	max
4,800	7,200	10,000		4,200	4,600
3,400	3,600	2,800	4,200		5,800
			600	1,400

The 4,800 amount for Fred is to cover the potential 4,200 maximum wager from Colin.

What actually happened

Fred		Colin		Bianca
10,600		11,200		7,000
5,500		10,200		4,201
16,100		1,000		11,201
min	max	min	max	min	max
3,401	3,599	10,001		4,201	4,599
4,801	7,199	2,801	4,199	1,401
			599		5,799

Good wagers all around – and Fred takes his fourth win! He now has $65,700 and sits atop the ToC leaderboard.

Will he hit five tomorrow?

The Final Jeopardy! clue

THE EMMYS

IT’S THE FIRST SHOW NOMINATED FOR BOTH OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES (2014) & OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES (2015)

[spoiler]What is “Orange is the New Black”?[/spoiler]

[php snippet=47]