Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Monday, October 10, 2016
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It seems my brain hasn’t yet woken up from the weekend.
Pidge, whose name is not short for Pigeon, has the lead, but it’s a tight match.
|
Nate Ross (1x) |
Charlie Olsky |
Pidge Meade |
| 8,800 | 7,800 | 11,000 |
Nate is stuck in a bind here: Stratton’s Dilemma, where he can’t both (1) cover a double-up by Charlie and (2) stay ahead of Pidge if they both miss.
Combined analysis
| Nate |
Charlie |
Pidge | |||
| 8,800 | 7,800 | 11,000 | |||
| FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 6,800* | 2,000 | 3,400 | 6,600 | ||
| 2,400 | 4,400 | ||||
| 2,200 | |||||
Nate will typically go big here, which means Pidge should go for the cover bet and Charlie should stay small.
What actually happened
| Nate | Charlie | Pidge | |||
| 8,800 | 7,800 | 11,000 | |||
| 8,798 | 4,000 | 6,601 | |||
| 17,598 | 11,800 | 17,601 | |||
| min | max | min | max | min | max |
| 6,801* | 2,001 | 3,399 | 6,601 | ||
| 2,401 | 4,399 | ||||
| 2,199 | |||||
Charlie went too big – he’s throwing away his chance at winning on a triple stumper.
The Final Jeopardy! clue
| INAUGURAL ADDRESSES |
| ONE OF HIS ADDRESSES USED THE TERM “SECURITY SHIELD” ABOUT INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS AS WELL AS “GOLDEN YEARS” |
[spoiler]Who was Ronald Reagan?[/spoiler]
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