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October 10, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Monday, October 10, 2016

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It seems my brain hasn’t yet woken up from the weekend.

Pidge, whose name is not short for Pigeon, has the lead, but it’s a tight match.

Nate

Ross (1x)

Charlie

Olsky

Pidge

Meade

8,800 7,800 11,000

Nate is stuck in a bind here: Stratton’s Dilemma, where he can’t both (1) cover a double-up by Charlie and (2) stay ahead of Pidge if they both miss.

Combined analysis

Nate
Charlie
Pidge
8,800 7,800 11,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,800* 2,000 3,400 6,600
2,400 4,400
2,200

Nate will typically go big here, which means Pidge should go for the cover bet and Charlie should stay small.

What actually happened

Nate Charlie Pidge
8,800 7,800 11,000
8,798 4,000 6,601
17,598 11,800 17,601
min max min max min max
6,801* 2,001 3,399 6,601
2,401 4,399
2,199

Charlie went too big – he’s throwing away his chance at winning on a triple stumper.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

INAUGURAL ADDRESSES
ONE OF HIS ADDRESSES USED THE TERM “SECURITY SHIELD” ABOUT INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS AS WELL AS “GOLDEN YEARS”

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – October 10, 2016
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