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June 8, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Wednesday, June 8, 2016

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I’ve had three unedited videos sitting in the can. Up first, Wednesday’s match.

Hunter has a slight lead, but Stew could play spoiler to win his third game.

Stew

Latwin (2x)

Hunter

Appler

Torrey

Livenick

7,400 14,200 12,400

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

STATE CAPITALS

Now, on to the analysis.

First-order calculations

I’d like to see Stew wager everything here – Torrey and Hunter can mess around a little too much.

Stew
Hunter
Torrey
7,400 14,200 12,400
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,200* 10,600 2,400 8,800
2,600 3,800
600

Second-order calculations

Not too much in the way of mind games, but Torrey’s small wager should further cement Stew’s all-in resolve.

Stew
Hunter
Torrey
7,400 14,200 12,400
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,200* 10,600 2,400 8,800
2,600 3,800 1,200
600

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Hunter and Torrey: 1,800
Hunter and Stew: 6,800
Torrey and Stew: 5,000

Stew
Hunter
Torrey
7,400 14,200 12,400
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,200* 10,600 3,600 5,000
2,600 3,800
600 1,800 1,200

What actually happened

Stew Hunter Torrey
7,400 14,200 12,400
7,398 10,601 12,000
14,798 24,801 400
min max min max min max
6,201* 10,601 3,601 4,999
2,601 3,799
601 1,799 1,199

Good wagers from the gentlemen… turns out the for-broke wager was suboptimal from Stew, but you never know what you’re going to get. Not sure what Torrey’s wager was meant to accomplish.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

STATE CAPITALS
THIS MIDWESTERN CAPITAL WAS NAMED FOR A MAN WHO WAS BORN IN WHAT IS NOW TURKEY OVER 2,000 YEARS AGO

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – June 8, 2016
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