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May 27, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Friday, May 27, 2016

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Buzzy’s looking to move into his third week. Will he become the sixth player to make it to double digits in the win column?

For the first time since his second game (fully a month ago in real time!), he’s trailing.

Buzzy

Cohen (9x)

Erin

Delaney

Megan

Hauser

12,200 16,400 7,200

And the category is right up Erin’s alley:

19th CENTURY NOVELS

Wow! Some analysis!

One thing I forgot to mention in the video: Alex loves asking contestants if they know the name of the X-Files episode he was on. He did it last season, too.

First-order calculations

Buzzy has a tight range to play it safe, while Megan has to go all in.

Buzzy
Erin
Megan
12,200 16,400 7,200
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
2,200 3,800 8,000 1,200*
2,000

Second-order calculations

Some mind games are in play.

Buzzy
Erin
Megan
12,200 16,400 7,200
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
2,200 3,800 8,000 1,200*
4,600* 400

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Erin and Buzzy: 4,200
Erin and Megan: 9,200
Buzzy and Megan: 5,000

Buzzy
Erin
Megan
12,200 16,400 7,200
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
2,200 3,800 8,000 5,000*
8,400* 400

Just to be safe, we add the zero-cover wagers…

What actually happened

Buzzy Erin Megan
12,200 16,400 7,200
8,000 8,001 7,000
20,200 24,401 14,200
min max min max
2,201 3,799 8,001 7,200
12,200 399

A well-played game by Erin, and a great run out of Buzzy. We’ll see him back in the ToC! Have a great long weekend.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

19th CENTURY NOVELS
THE GOLD BUG, EDGAR ALLAN POE’S STORY ABOUT THE SEARCH FOR CAPTAIN KIDD’S BURIED LOOT, HELPED INSPIRE THIS 1883 NOVEL

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – May 27, 2016
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One Comment
  1. I posted this on Thursday’s comments, also:
    Saw part of this re Buzzy’s shtick on Final Jeopardy question on Good Morning America today – here’s the whole thing. Fun stuff, my opinion.
    https://goo.gl/njM72L

What do you think?