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May 16, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Monday, May 16, 2016 (Power Players #1)

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We’ve got a week filled with Power Players. They might have the political know-how, but how many of them will wager properly?

A very good game to kick things off – and for the first time in many weeks, we have a three-way battle heading into Final.

On the video I discuss how much I hate the words “interesting” and “unchurched”, along with some abridged calculations.

Chuck

Todd

S.E.

Cupp

Jonathan

Franzen

12,200 13,200 14,800
Samaritan Inns No Kid Hungry American Bird Conservancy

An apt Final Jeopardy! category for this evening:

POLITICAL TERMS

This one should be a slam dunk for at least two of these three, right?

Keep in mind the winner’s charity is guaranteed $50,000, while those of the runners-up will receive a minimum of $10,000. That could lead to more-aggressive wagers tonight.

Combined analysis

Chuck
S.E.
Jonathan
12,200 13,200 14,800
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
5,200 9,000 11,200* 11,600
3,200 10,000
1,000 1,600

Chuck might be tempted to go for everything to maximize his upside potential, but I believe the possible extra $3,200 is not worth the risk of missing out on $50k on a tough clue.

What actually happened

Chuck S.E. Jonathan
12,200 13,200 14,800
12,200 3,200 13,201
0 10,000 1,599
min max min max min max
5,201 8,999 13,200 11,601
3,201 9,999
999 1,599

And it was a tough clue… and S.E.’s savvy wager (I’ll let Alex get away with that tomorrow) gives her charity the big check.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

POLITICAL TERMS
OFFICIALS CALLED TRIBUNES SAT AT ROME’S SENATE DOOR & IF THEY DIDN’T LIKE WHAT WAS GOING ON, SHOUTED THIS LATIN WORD

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – May 16, 2016

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