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May 3, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Tuesday, May 3, 2016 (Teachers QF #2)

2016 Teachers Tournament
QF1 QF2 QF3 QF4 QF5 SF1 SF2 SF3 F1 F2

Order has returned to the universe! My television is back on the left side of your screen.

Jason’s Antepenultimate Wager was… interesting. Now we’ll have to see how he and Nicole handle this situation, courtesy of the wild cards.

Greg

Greenzweig

Jason

Sterlacci

Nicole

Throckmorton

6,400 20,000 10,000

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

U.S. MEMORIALS

Suggested wagers

Based on past non-winning scores in Teachers Tournament quarterfinals.

Greg Jason Nicole
6,400 20,000 10,000
20% confidence 6,400 0 or 1 2,800
30% confidence 6,400 0 or 1 2,800
40% confidence 6,400 0 or 1 2,800
50% confidence 6,400 0 or 1 9,300
60% confidence 6,400 0 or 1 9,300
70% confidence 6,400 0 or 1 9,300
80% confidence 6,400 0 or 1 9,900

The strange thing is my calculator actually does recommend 2,800 for Nicole, independent of Greg’s amount.

What actually happened

Greg Jason Nicole
6,400 20,000 10,000
6,400 1,000 5,000
0 19,000 5,000

This Final clue, as written, belonged in the ToC. It’s a shame the luck of the draw had to penalize Nicole and Greg – but them’s the breaks, I suppose.

Quarterfinal winners:

  1. Chris Tempro
  2. Jason Sterlacci

Wild-card race:

  1. Lauren Gilmore – 11,000 (90%)
  2. Nicole Throckmorton – 5,000 (30%)
  3. Dianne Lee – 100 (<1%)
  4. Greg Greenzweig – 0 (<1%)

Percentage represents probability of advancing based on past Teachers Tournament data.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

U.S. MEMORIALS
SYMBOLIC BOOKENDS, THESE 2 NEIGHBORING MEMORIALS MARK THE BEGINNING & END OF U.S. INVOLVEMENT IN WORLD WAR II

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – May 3, 2016
2016 Teachers Tournament
QF1 QF2 QF3 QF4 QF5 SF1 SF2 SF3 F1 F2

3 Comments
  1. Kelly permalink

    I agree with Keith’s suggestions here – and even though it was unlikely to matter, Jason violated the rule of never betting more than what is needed to cover second by a dollar from the lead in a game where the scores have no cash value.

  2. Charles L. Rogers permalink

    If i’m correct, the U.S. was involved in World War 2 in Germany before Pearl Harbor. World War 2 started in 1939. Making your question incorrect.

    • It might have had “advisors” (a la Vietnam) in Germany, but until Pearl Harbor, the U.S. had a strict non-interventionist policy.

What do you think?