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April 18, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Monday, April 18, 2016

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This looks like it could be a fun way to kick off our Jeopardy! week. Was it?

Another good game tonight, and we’ve got some special scores heading into Final:

Andrew

Pau (1x)

Sarah

Edwards

David

Greenberg

22,600 16,400 10,200

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

AMERICAN ICONS

First-order calculations

David has to get it right, so all in for him.

This is an evenly-spaced scores situation, so Sarah, in the middle, has a predicament on her hands: should she add the extra dollar (to lock out David if they both get it right) or withhold it (to stay above Andrew’s minimum if they both miss)?

Andrew
Sarah
David
22,600 16,400 10,200
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
10,200 4,000 4,001 2,200*
2,200

Second-order calculations

Andrew has a similar decision. And, given Sarah might wager 4,001, he should cap his maximum alternative wager at 2,198.

Andrew
Sarah
David
22,600 16,400 10,200
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
10,200 10,201 4,000 4,001 2,200*
16,400 !
2,198

What actually happened

Andrew Sarah David
22,600 16,400 10,200
10,201 6,201 7,000
32,801 22,601 17,200
min max min max
10,200 10,201 4,000 4,001 10,200 !
2,198 16,400 !

Bad wagers from our two challengers. Sarah needed to wager at least 8,400 to cover that potential 2,198 / 2,199 wager from Andrew. But really, when ties are a possibility, you’re forced into a very specific range.

Andrew has now won 2 games and $65,202.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

AMERICAN ICONS
THIS WWII ICON WAS CREATED IN A 1943 SONG THAT SAYS, “THAT LITTLE FRAIL CAN DO MORE THAN A MALE CAN DO”

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – April 18, 2016
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