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April 13, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Wednesday, April 13, 2016

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We had an awful Final Jeopardy! clue last night… let’s see if the writers redeem themselves here.

Man, that CENTRAL AMERICAN CAPITALS category was $6,000 waiting to be plucked from the Tree of Trebek – or perhaps much more, given a Daily Double showed up.

Carter

Spires (1x)

Pamela

Stewart

Christian

Maher

10,200 12,000 7,600

Other than that (and the cribbage clue!), we had a good game, and we might have some mind games with tonight’s deciding category:

FAMOUS HOTELS

How many hotels could there be?

First-order calculations

Everyone’s still in it, and Christian can benefit from a tough clue.

Carter
Pamela
Christian
10,200 12,000 7,600
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
5,000 6,600 8,400 1,200 2,400
3,200 4,000

Second-order calculations

There are some alternatives, however.

Carter
Pamela
Christian
10,200 12,000 7,600
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
5,000 6,600 8,400 1,200 2,400
3,000 4,800 400
200 1,600 2,800 4,000

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Pamela and Carter: 1,800
Pamela and Christian: 4,400
Carter and Christian: 2,600

Carter
Pamela
Christian
10,200 12,000 7,600
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
5,000 5,200 8,400 8,800 1,200 2,400
1,800 2,600 4,800 400
200 1,600 2,800 4,000

What actually happened

Carter Pamela Christian
10,200 12,000 7,600
5,001 8,401 7,599
5,199 3,599 1
min max min max min max
5,001 5,199 8,401 8,799 1,201 2,399
1,801 2,599 4,801 399
199 1,599 2,801 3,999

Christian cost himself a victory with his large wager; instead, Carter has now won 2 games and $31,200.

I’m not a fan of video Final Jeopardy! clues, but this one seemed fair to me. I don’t know if my spelling mistake would have passed muster with the judges, though. (Should have gone phonetically.)

The Final Jeopardy! clue

FAMOUS HOTELS
THE PAINTING SEEN HERE, “A VICIOUS CIRCLE”, HANGS IN THIS HOTEL IN THE ROOM THAT’S PORTRAYED IN THE PAINTING

fj13apr16

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – April 13, 2016
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One Comment
  1. George permalink

    If you were in Friday’s game and saw this, would you adjust your betting strategy from first or third if the scores were similar to this and you see that Carter knows how to wager from second?

What do you think?