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March 31, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Thursday, March 31, 2016

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I’m assuming tonight’s wagering situation is an early April Fool’s joke.

For the third time since tiebreakers were instituted, we have a tie heading into Final.

Todd

Giese (2x)

Fariha

Ali

Laura

Mogul

11,000 10,400 11,000

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

THE OSCARS

With Fariha so close to our leaders, they have very little choice.

Tied analysis

Todd
Fariha
Laura
11,000 10,400 11,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
11,000 1,200 9,200 11,000
0 0

You might notice in the video I made a mistake – by subtracting 600 from Fariha’s amount, I calculated the minimum wager for either of the two leaders. I needed to subtract another 600 to get Fariha’s proper maximum.

Shorthand doesn’t always work.

What actually happened

Todd Fariha Laura
11,000 10,400 11,000
11,000 9,798 11,000
22,000 602 0
min max
11,000 ! 1,201 9,199 11,000 !
0 !     0 !

Fariha might have made the same mistake I did, but it wouldn’t have mattered anyway – both of her opponents did what they needed to do.

Todd, with the sole get, has now won 3 games and $74,402.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

THE OSCARS
SINCE 1998 THIS ACTRESS HAS RECEIVED 7 OSCAR NOMINATIONS, THE MOST EARNED AFTER AGE 60 BY ANY PERFORMER

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – March 31, 2016
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2 Comments
  1. jdgalt permalink

    Could you please explain your reasoning about Fariha’s proper wager?

    My analysis in her shoes is that each of the leaders, unless they do something stupid, is going to wind up with either 0, 11,000, or 22,000. Therefore, Fariha should bet at least 601 (to be over 11,000 if she’s right) and at most everything minus 1 (to be over zero if she’s wrong).

    Your range for her has her attempting to reach 11,601, or to keep at least 1,201, neither of which seem meaningful numbers given what the two leaders are likely to do.

What do you think?