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March 14, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Monday, March 14, 2016

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In tonight’s video, I thank a lot of people. And then do other things.

I hope the video speaks for itself. Thank you to everyone who was supportive after last week’s meltdown. It was just one of those weeks.

Here are tonight’s scores:

Gordon

Moffat (1x)

Philip

Tiu

Amanda

Darby

16,000 10,600 11,000

And we’ve got this category:

THE NOBEL PHYSICS PRIZE

Philip is a math professor, so this should be fun. I am unsure whether either player was a holdover from last time – if neither was, then neither is aware of Gordon’s wager from Friday.

First-order calculations

Amanda is in Stratton’s Dilemma: she should either wager everything or very little.

Gordon
Philip
Amanda
16,000 10,600 11,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,000 600 10,200*
1,000

Second-order calculations

There is some potential for mind games.

Gordon
Philip
Amanda
16,000 10,600 11,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,000 200 600 10,200*
9,400* 200 1,000
4,000

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Gordon and Amanda: 5,000
Gordon and Philip: 5,400
Amanda and Philip: 400

Gordon
Philip
Amanda
16,000 10,600 11,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,000 400 600 10,200*
9,400* 200 400
4,000

Well, let’s see what happens here.

What actually happened

Gordon Philip Amanda
16,000 10,600 11,000
4,000 10,598 5,000
12,000 21,198 6,000
min max min max min max
6,001 401 599 11,000
10,600 201 399
3,999

Seems like we have a plague of people wagering 4,000 and 5,000. What is going on? We were doing so well for a few weeks.

In any event: We’re back in business here, and I have a smile on my face tonight.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

THE NOBEL PHYSICS PRIZE
A 2013 LAUREATE, THIS BRITISH MAN WROTE A 1954 THESIS ON “PROBLEMS IN THE THEORY OF MOLECULAR VIBRATIONS”

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – March 14, 2016
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5 Comments
  1. Keith, I’m so glad you haven’t left us! And great video for your “return”! BTW, while Philip did bet big on his DD, was there any justification for him not to go all-in, with time running out and his actual wager leaving him on the wrong end of a crush rather than a 2/3 situation (especially if he didn’t know that Gordon was likely to not bet to cover)? If he got his $4,000 DD wrong, he would have been out of contention in the game anyway.

  2. Yay! Keith’s back and better than ever!

  3. Doug permalink

    Glad you reconsidered!

  4. Final Jeopardy
    “This slapstick buddy comedy centers on a skinny, temperamental chihuahua and his trusting feline sidekick.”
    Happy, happy, joy, joy.
    So over happy and overjoyed that you are going to continue.
    And I loved the time this hit my email inbox. Early is great on the Left Coast.
    Wow! Did Philip have problems with the buzzer or what?
    One more time: Happy, happy, joy, joy.

  5. Sean Cauley permalink

    Philip was a holdover from the previous day. I’ll be his opponent tonight!

What do you think?