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March 1, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

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I’m wagering “live” again tonight, and I regret not making a lion/lamb joke.

BONUS: be sure to check out my video with Fritz Holznagel, in which he gives tips for the buzzer!

Playing “live” cuts down on the amount of time I can spent dithering over a situation like this:

David

Bradley (2x)

Titi

Ala’ilima

Rachel

Zoch

8,200 12,400 10,700

We’ve got a tough Final Jeopardy! category – for me, anyway.

20th CENTURY POETS

Let’s dig in, shall we?

First-order calculations

Rachel has a tight rational range:

David
Titi
Rachel
8,200 12,400 10,700
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
3,200 9,000 5,700 7,300
4,000

Second-order calculations

Some mind games:

David
Titi
Rachel
8,200 12,400 10,700
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
3,200 9,000 5,700 7,300
1,400 5,600 2,300 3,900
1,000

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Titi and Rachel: 1,700
Titi and David: 4,200
Rachel and David: 2,500

David
Titi
Rachel
8,200 12,400 10,700
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
2,500 3,200 9,000 5,700 7,300
1,400 5,600 8,400 1,700 2,500
1,000

What actually happened

David Titi Rachel
8,200 12,400 10,700
8,200 9,001 6,000
0 3,399 4,700
min max min max min max
2,501 3,199 9,001 5,701 7,299
1,399 5,601 8,399 1,701 2,499
999

A bad wager costs David his third win. Ah, well – at least he’s going home with $55,000 in winnings!

The Final Jeopardy! clue

20th CENTURY POETS
IT WAS SAID “HIS ACCENT WHICH STARTED OUT AS PURE AMERICAN MIDDLE WEST” BECAME “QUITE BRITISH U” [UPPER CLASS]

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – March 1, 2016
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