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February 10, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Wednesday, February 10, 2016 (College SF #3)

2016 College Championship
schools represented wild-card wagering
QF1 QF2 QF3 QF4 QF5 SF1 SF2 SF3 F1 F2

Greetings from Boston, one of those alternate universes where Jeopardy! airs at 7:30. (Not that it matters when you’re watching on DVR, I suppose…)

The Final Wager – February 10, 2016

Man, we were so close to seeing a tie game heading into Final! Sad that a low-level clue will be the difference tonight, one way or another.

Ziad

Ali

Sarah

Dubnik

Kate

Laubscher

17,800 18,200 7,000
NC State Pitt Northeastern

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

CHILDREN’S AUTHORS

As it turns out, I’m not the only person who holds that Boston’s approach is somewhat… heretical:

First-order calculations

Kate’s in a tough position here, because Ziad can safely wager to keep her at bay.

Ziad
Sarah
Kate
17,800 18,200 7,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
3,800 17,400 6,200
17,000
4,200

Second-order calculations

Sarah and Ziad could go back and forth

Ziad
Sarah
Kate
17,800 18,200 7,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
3,000 17,400 6,200
3,800 3,400 4,200

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Sarah and Ziad: 400
Sarah and Kate: 11,200
Ziad and Kate: 10,800

Ziad
Sarah
Kate
17,800 18,200 7,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
800 3,000 17,400 6,200
3,800 3,400 4,200
400

Then we add a dollar to the minimum wagers, and subtract a dollar from the maximum wagers.

What actually happened

Ziad Sarah Kate
17,800 18,200 7,000
401 17,401 7,000
18,201 35,601 14,000
min max min max min max
801 2,999 17,401 6,199
3,799 3,401 4,199
399

Sarah goes big, and the others go home. She’ll take the champ’s podium tonight, as she had the highest score in the semifinals.

Ziad should have wagered at least 800 just in case Sarah wagered 399; that’s why he gets the pink grade.

Here are our finalists:

Mon
2/8

Niki

Gus

Emily S.

UC Berkeley Stanford Columbia
Tue
2/9

Emily B.

Sam

Hannah

Wright State USC Augustana (SD)
Wed
2/10

Ziad

Sarah

Kate

NC State Pitt Northeastern

All three of their schools have gold hues, but each gold hue is different.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

CHILDREN’S AUTHORS
AT 24 HE BEGAN A VERSE RETELLING OF THE CUPID & PSYCHE MYTH, INCLUDING A CHARACTER NAMED CASPIAN

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – February 10, 2016
2016 College Championship
schools represented wild-card wagering
QF1 QF2 QF3 QF4 QF5 SF1 SF2 SF3 F1 F2

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