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February 3, 2016

Final Jeopardy! wagering analysis:
Wednesday, February 3, 2016 (College QF #3)

2016 College Championship
schools represented wild-card wagering
QF1 QF2 QF3 QF4 QF5 SF1 SF2 SF3 F1 F2

After tonight’s game, we’ll have three semifinalists – and our first two eliminated players.

Here are our scores heading into Final:

Sam

Deutsch

Amanda

Rosner

Michael

Sieja

13,600 6,600 7,200
USC Northwestern Mississippi State

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

MOMENTS IN HISTORY

My calculator says Sam should go for the lockout (801) and Amanda and Michael should both go all in.

I’m hoping we’ll have a game later this week without total Hail Mary passes from the trailers – it’ll be interesting to see how a player handles, say, 11,000.

What actually happened

Sam Amanda Michael
13,600 6,600 7,200
801 6,600 7,200
14,401 13,200 14,400

Another slam-dunk Final. The good news is that Adam and Carissa from Monday’s game would have been eliminated tonight anyway had they gotten their ultimate clue correct.

Quarterfinal winners:

  1. Emily Sun (Columbia)
  2. Emily Bingham (Wright State)
  3. Sam Deutsch (USC)

Wild-card race:

  1. Kate Laubscher (Northeastern) – 14,400 (99%)
  2. Michael Sieja (Mississippi State) – 14,400 (94%)
  3. Kevin Brown (LSU) – 14,000 (66%)
  4. Amanda Rosner (Northwestern) – 13,200 (19%)
  5. Adam Antoszewski (UVA) – 0
  6. Carissa Pekny (West Point) – 0

Note: both Michael and Kate had 7,200 heading into Final Jeopardy!. I assume the second tiebreaker is score after the first round; Kate had 3,200, Michael had 2,600.

Percentage represents probability of advancing based on past College Championship data.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

MOMENTS IN HISTORY
THIS WORD FOLLOWS JANUARY (CHINA, 1967); MARCH (GERMANY, 1848); JULY (FRANCE, 1830) & FAMOUSLY, OCTOBER

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – February 3, 2016
2016 College Championship
schools represented wild-card wagering
QF1 QF2 QF3 QF4 QF5 SF1 SF2 SF3 F1 F2

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