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December 30, 2015

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

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Did tonight’s players learn from last night’s mistakes?

…Is it still 2015?

Johnny, who certainly ranks among my favorite players of all time, has the lead heading into Final. Both of his opponents are still within range, but that miss on the last clue is going to hurt Erik’s chances.

Camille

Hooper

Erik

Johns

Johnny

Saunders

6,600 9,200 13,000

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

GERMAN SCIENTISTS

Quick analysis here.

First-order calculations

Camille has to get it right to have a shot. (Sound familiar?)

Erik, in second, is closer in score to third than to first, so he is in Stratton’s Dilemma.

Camille
Erik
Johnny
6,600 9,200 13,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
1,000* 4,000* 5,400
1,600
200

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Johnny and Erik: 3,800
Johnny and Camille: 6,400
Erik and Camille: 2,600

Camille
Erik
Johnny
6,600 9,200 13,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
6,400* 4,000* 5,400 6,400
1,600 200 2,200

What actually happened

Camille Erik Johnny
6,600 9,200 13,000
1,001 9,200 0
5,599 0 13,000
min max min max
6,600 9,200 5,401 6,399
1,599 201 2,199

For the second game in a row, the only player to get it right wagered zero. I like Johnny’s wager here almost as much as I liked Patricia’s yesterday; he really should have wagered at least 201 in case Camille properly wagered everything.

At least, in the end, he really only had Erik to worry about.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

GERMAN SCIENTISTS
BEST KNOWN FOR HIS THEORIES ABOUT PLANETARY ORBITS, IN 1604 HE BECAME THE FIRST TO EXPLAIN HOW EYEGLASSES CORRECT VISION

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – December 30, 2015
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