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December 23, 2015

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

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We had a high-scoring game last night; here’s hoping we can keep the ball rolling!

The Final Wager – December 23, 2015

Indeed, we do – in part thanks to some big Daily Double wagers.

Programming note: I’ll be back with a video tomorrow.

Theresa

Tejada

Joe

Quackenbush

Chandreyi

Ghosh

5,600 17,200 25,200

Joe left $2,400 on the table on his late Daily Double wager; had he gone for broke, he’d be in a much better strategic position – not to mention we’d have a wager-to-tie situation (first = second + third).

There’s nothing wrong with missing out on Final as long as you play the rest of the game right.

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

BABY GIRL NAMES

Now, on to the analysis.

First-order calculations

If Chandreyi goes for the lockout and misses, Joe can win by staying small.

Theresa
Joe
Chandreyi
5,600 17,200 25,200
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
1,200 9,200 14,000

Second-order calculations

On the other hand, we have the potential for some mind games.

Theresa
Joe
Chandreyi
5,600 17,200 25,200
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
1,200 9,200 14,000
14,800* 6,800

What actually happened

Theresa Joe Chandreyi
5,600 17,200 25,200
5,600 10,000 9,201
11,200 7,200 34,401
min max min max
1,199 9,201 13,999
17,200 6,799

Given Joe’s Daily Double wager, I’m unsurprised by his play here: there’s no circumstance in which this works better than either of his ‘proper’ ranges.

Had I written this Final Jeopardy! clue, I would have either (1) omitted the part about an animated movie, or (2) saved it for Kids Week.

Great game by Chandreyi – her funny interview story was icing on the cake! We’ll see if she can do it again tomorrow.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

BABY GIRL NAMES
IN 2014 IT WAS NO. 1 IN SWEDEN AND, THANKS TO AN ANIMATED MOVIE, IN THE TOP 300 FOR U.S. BABY GIRLS FOR THE FIRST TIME IN DECADES
Correct response: Show
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4 Comments
  1. If they had omitted the part about the animated movie, though, the FJ clue would have been unsolvable for most people outside of Sweden.

    • I would have rephrased it to note the rise in popularity. Quick pass:

      IN 2014 IT WAS NO. 1 IN SWEDEN; IN THE U.S. IT JUMPED TO NO. 286 FROM NO. 528 THE YEAR PRIOR

  2. George permalink

    I still think that would put it on Liederkrantz level of difficulty.

    • I agree — it would be too hard for most people to make the leap from “2014” to “in that year there was an animated movie whose protagonist had a Swedish name.” Some people might get hung up on the Stiegg Larson trilogy that didn’t precede 2014 by very many years, only to realize that the name of the girl with the dragon tattoo was the not-very-Swedish Lizbeth.

What do you think?