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November 12, 2015

Thursday, November 12, 2015 – ToC2015 QF #4

2015 Tournament of Champions
Pre-tourney stats: Pre-Final position Forrest Bouncing
Coryat scores
QF preview SF preview
QF1 QF2 QF3 QF4 QF5 SF1 SF2 SF3 F1 F2

After tonight’s quarterfinal, our semifinal roster will be much clearer. Will Kerry, Andrew, or Elliot – or perhaps two or all three? – be playing next week?

Note: for some reason, my video – in which I go on a rant about people berating contestants on social media – didn’t upload properly the first time. Sorry about that!

Things are looking good for Kerry and Andrew. Not so much for Elliot, who had some serious trouble with the buzzer. He did a great job getting out of that early hole, though, and I know for a fact he had fun both taping and watching.

Kerry

Greene

Andrew

Haringer

Elliot

Yates

18,000 17,200 3,600

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

ARTISTS’ SUBJECTS

This looks suspiciously familiar to the clue in my ToC quarterfinal, ART SUBJECTS. We’ll see if the reference is similarly obscure.

I am not expecting Kerry or Andrew to do anything here. Don’t pay too much attention to those small suggestions – they’re just a quirk of having a smaller set of scores than I’d like.

Kerry Andrew Elliot
18,000 17,200 3,600
Current percentile 96% 95% 41%
20% confidence 0 400 0
30% confidence 0 400 2,800
40% confidence 0 400 2,800
50% confidence 0 400 2,800
60% confidence 0 400 2,800
70% confidence 0 400 2,800
80% confidence 600 400 2,800

What actually happened

Kerry Andrew Elliot
18,000 17,200 3,600
4,000 2,200 3,600
22,000 19,400 7,200

Congratulations to Kerry – and also to Andrew, who clinches a wild card spot, along with Vaughn Winchell. Kristin Sausville gets bumped off the list and is sitting in the “alternate” position, a.k.a. the worst place in the world to be on the second day of taping (I say this from experience).

Quarterfinal winners:

  1. Catherine Hardee
  2. Brennan Bushee
  3. Matt Jackson
  4. Kerry Greene

Wild-card race:

  1. Andrew Haringer – 19,400 (clinched)
  2. Vaughn Winchell – 16,599 (clinched)
  3. John Schultz – 15,000 (96%)
  4. Dan Feitel – 14,000 (62%)
  5. Kristin Sausville – 12,800
  6. Greg Seroka – 11,500
  7. Elliot Yates – 7,200
  8. Jennifer Giles – 3,800

The Final Jeopardy! clue

ARTISTS’ SUBJECTS
THE WOMAN SEEN HERE, WHO WAS BORN IN NORTH CAROLINA AND DIED IN ENGLAND IN 1881, WAS THE SUBJECT OF THIS PAINTING

Correct response: Show

The Final Wager – November 12, 2015
2015 Tournament of Champions
Pre-tourney stats: Pre-Final position Forrest Bouncing
Coryat scores
QF preview SF preview
QF1 QF2 QF3 QF4 QF5 SF1 SF2 SF3 F1 F2

3 Comments
  1. Anthony Abilo permalink

    Two questions on the TOC format:
    1) How are the contestants grouped in the first & second rounds?
    2) In the first round, do the “losers” know each others scores as it pertains to the wild-card? Seems to me it would be an advantage for the players on Thursday and Friday if they know the wild-card score that they have to beat to get to the next round.

    • Matt permalink

      #1: In the semifinals, the only known/widely believed rule is that there are no quarterfinal rematches. Other than that, it’s at the whim of the producers/contestant coordinators. (There may be other principles; note that this year, the four players who won more than five games were kept apart, as were the four women who qualified.)

      #2: If you haven’t played yet, you are sequestered in the green room until called to play. Those in the later quarterfinals have no advance knowledge of the scoring in games that have been taped already.

      This video from Keith has a fuller explanation: https://youtu.be/uC3XDmIjNM4

What do you think?