Skip to content
July 17, 2015

Friday, July 17, 2015

previous week same week following week
6 7 8 9 10 13 14 15 16 17 20 21 22 23 24

I want Jennifer to keep winning, only so I can hear more of her stories.The Final Wager – July 17, 2015

She’ll need to win from behind this time…

Jennifer

Morrow

Lawrence

Dernulc

Julia

Lawrence

13,800 16,000 7,600

…with this category:

19th CENTURY AMERICANS

Those of you who follow my This Day in History series made mincemeat out of this clue.

If you don’t keep up with it, you can subscribe to this blog, or follow my #TDIH stream on Instagram.

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

If Jennifer doubles her score, she’ll have 27,600.

To cover this all-in wager, Lawrence will need to wager 11,600.

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
13,800 11,600
27,600 27,600
min max min max min max
11,600

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Lawrence with 4,400.

To stay above his total, Jennifer can wager up to 9,400.

Julia can wager up to 3,200.

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
9,400 11,600 3,200
4,400 4,400 4,400
min max min max min max
9,400 11,600 3,200

Third doubles up

A successful doubling will put Julia at 15,200.

To cover this, Jennifer should wager at least 1,400.

Lawrence could wager at most 800 if he lacks confidence in the category.

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
1,400 800 7,600
15,200 15,200 15,200
min max min max min max
9,400 11,600 3,200
1,400
800

Julia would need to wager at least 4,800. Might as well go for broke in that case.

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
1,400 4,800
12,400 12,400
min max min max min max
9,400 11,600 3,200
1,400 4,800
800

Here’s where things stand after the first order:

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
9,400 11,600 3,200
1,400 4,800
800

Second-order calculations

Second’s max vs. first

If Jennifer makes the rational maximum wager of 9,400, Lawrence will need to wager 7,200 to cover her.

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
9,400 7,200
23,200 23,200
min max min max min max
9,400 11,600 3,200
1,400 7,200 4,800
800

If he’s wrong with that wager, he’ll be left with 8,800.

To stay above him, Jennifer can wager up to 5,000.

Julia might consider risking at least 1,200.

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
5,000 7,200 1,200
8,800 8,800 8,800
min max min max min max
9,400 11,600 1,200 3,200
1,400 5,000 7,200 4,800
800

Third’s max vs. first

We’ll ignore Lawrence’s 5,200 wager here – that’s asking a bit much.

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
3,000 5,200 3,200
10,800 10,800 10,800
min max min max min max
9,400 11,600 1,200 3,200
1,400 5,000 7,200 4,800
800

Now, after two orders of analysis:

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
1,400 3,000 11,600 1,200 3,200
9,400 7,200 4,800
5,000 800

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Lawrence and Jennifer: 2,200
Lawrence and Julia: 8,400
Jennifer and Julia: 6,200

Jennifer
Lawrence
Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
1,400 3,000 11,600 1,200 3,200
4,400 9,400 7,200 8,400 4,800
2,200 5,000 800

Then we line the wagers up and adjust as appropriate.

What actually happened

Jennifer Lawrence Julia
13,800 16,000 7,600
4,000 11,601 7,201
17,800 4,399 399
min max min max min max
4,401 4,999 11,601 7,600
3,000 ! 7,201 8,399 1,201 3,199
9,399 799

Looks like someone’s been studying wagering “theory“!

Cory WHAAAAAT

Either way, that brings Jennifer’s total up to $37,000 after 2 victories.

Have a great weekend!

The Final Jeopardy! clue

19th CENTURY AMERICANS
 AN ACCOUNT OF HER HISTORIC TRIAL NOTED, “IT WAS CONCEDED THAT THE DEFENDANT WAS, ON THE 5th OF NOVEMBER 1872, A WOMAN”
Correct response: Show
previous week same week following week
6 7 8 9 10 13 14 15 16 17 20 21 22 23 24
Leave a Comment

What do you think?