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May 28, 2015

Thursday, May 28, 2015

It’s almost Friday! I could use a drink.The Final Wager – May 28, 2015

I’ll let you guess why.

*waits*

*waits*

*waits*

Ok, let’s just get right into it:

What actually happened

Dan Ivan Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
19,999 15,200 14,701
39,999 0 30,401
min max min max min max
11,401 4,801 5,599 15,700
6,101 7,099
1,801 4,299 499

AGAIN! At least it’s not as bad as Tuesday’s wager.

In fact, I’d argue that Ivan’s wager is even worse, since he has no chance of winning unless the other two miss anyway.

Sorry – got a bit ahead of myself.

Dan

Feitel

Ivan

Tan

Adrienne

Onofri

20,000 15,200 15,700

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

AMERICAN LITERATURE

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

If Adrienne doubles her score, she’ll have 31,400.

To cover this all-in wager, Dan will need to wager 11,400.

Dan
Ivan
Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
11,400 15,700
31,400 31,400
min max min max min max
11,400

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Dan with 8,600.

To stay above his total, Adrienne can wager up to 7,100.

Ivan can wager up to 6,600.

Dan
Ivan
Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
11,400 6,600 7,100
8,600 8,600 8,600
min max min max min max
11,400 6,600 7,100

Third doubles up

A successful doubling will put Ivan at 30,400.

To cover this, Adrienne should wager at least 14,700. In this case, though, she will lose on an incorrect response, so she might as well wager everything.

I’m unconcerned about Dan here – might as well cover Adrienne.

Dan
Ivan
Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
10,400 15,200 14,700
30,400 30,400 30,400
min max min max min max
11,400 6,600 14,700*
7,100

Here’s where things stand after the first order:

Dan
Ivan
Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
11,400 6,600 14,700*
7,100

Second-order calculations

Third’s max vs. first

If Ivan wagers 6,600, Adrienne can cover him with 6,100.

Dan
Ivan
Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
6,600 6,100
21,800 21,800
min max min max min max
11,400 6,600 14,700*
6,100 7,100

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Adrienne with 6,100, so Ivan should cap his at 5,600.

Dan
Ivan
Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
5,600 6,100
9,600 9,600
min max min max min max
11,400 5,600 14,700*
6,100 7,100

I don’t see much else, so after two orders of analysis:

Dan
Ivan
Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
11,400 5,600 14,700*
6,100 7,100

Zero wagers

Score differences:
Dan and Adrienne: 4,300
Dan and Ivan: 4,800
Adrienne and Ivan: 500

Dan
Ivan
Adrienne
20,000 15,200 15,700
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
11,400 4,800 5,600 14,700*
6,100 7,100
4,300 500

If for some reason Dan wants to put his life in the hands of his opponents, he can go for at least 1,800 (which would cover both maximum wagers except Adrienne’s proper cover bet).

Once again, what actually happened

May 28 live wagers
Dan has now won 3 games and $85,598.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

AMERICAN LITERATURE
PUBLISHED A YEAR LATER, “GOOD WIVES” WAS A FOLLOW-UP TO THIS 1868 NOVEL
Correct response: Show
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One Comment
  1. Kelly permalink

    Maybe “Just Wager $4,000” should become “Just Wager Everything But a Dollar”? (At least now you wouldn’t need an exception if you have less than $4,000.)

What do you think?