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May 21, 2015

Thursday, May 21, 2015

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Will Andrew Haringer become the latest six-time champion – our fourth since April 1?The Final Wager – May 21, 2015

He’ll have to come from behind yet again – for a record fifth time.

Andrew

Haringer

Choyon

Manjrekar

Laurie

McNeill

11,800 18,800 7,600

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

19TH CENTURY AUTHORS

One amusing aspect of tonight’s game: Andrew knew the Twenty-First Amendment but not the First Amendment. (If you want a leg up on early constitutional amendments, check out my Fact Primer.)

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

If Andrew doubles his score, he’ll have 23,600.

To cover this all-in wager, Choyon will need to wager 4,800.

Andrew
Choyon
Laurie
11,800 18,800 7,600
11,800 4,800
23,600 23,600
min max min max min max
4,800

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Choyon with 14,000.

To get above his total, Andrew must wager at least 2,200.

Laurie must respond correctly to have a shot, so all-in is the way to go.

Andrew
Choyon
Laurie
11,800 18,800 7,600
2,200 4,800 6,400
14,000 14,000 14,000
min max min max min max
2,200 4,800 6,400

A successful doubling will put Laurie at 15,200.

To cover this, Andrew should wager at least 3,400.

Choyon could wager at most 3,600, I guess, but might as well take it into his own hands.

Andrew
Choyon
Laurie
11,800 18,800 7,600
3,400 3,600 7,600
15,200 15,200 15,200
min max min max min max
3,400 4,800 6,400
3,600

For Choyon, capping his at 7,000 (so as not to fall below Andrew) is a good idea, too, although I’d say he’s safe up to 9,200.

What actually happened

Andrew Choyon Laurie
11,800 18,800 7,600
11,800 5,000 5,000
23,600 23,800 2,600
min max
11,800 4,801 6,999 7,600
3,599

Looks like I was wrong about that last part – Laurie didn’t even try to win.

I used to color such wagers black, but someone pointed out that associating “black” with “really bad” could unintentionally reinforce racial stereotypes. Although that certainly wasn’t my intention, I agree with that view, so I’ve changed the label to “gray”.

Congrats to Andrew for a great run – we’ll see him in the TOC. And congrats to Choyon, a longtime member of JBoard under the handle ihavejeoprosy.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

19TH CENTURY AUTHORS
IN AN ESSAY, HE WROTE, “I WOULD RATHER SIT ON A PUMPKIN AND HAVE IT ALL TO MYSELF THAN BE CROWDED ON A VELVET CUSHION”
Correct response: Show
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