Skip to content
April 23, 2015

Thursday, April 23, 2015

First, we had Kerry Greene; then a one-timer. Then came Alex Jacob, and another one-timer.

And now, Michael Brady’s on his third game. You get what I’m sayin’ here?

The Final Wager April 23, 2015

Not really, and here’s why: he’s far too passive on the Daily Doubles. That Calendar DD should have been a “bet it all” – down $7,000 on a mid-level clue.

Unfortunately, Ellen didn’t have too much luck tonight.

Michael

Brady

Ellen

Burgett

Greg

Seroka

12,700 -2,600 17,400

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

ART IN THE CITY

Nice and straightforward with two players.

First-order calculations

If Michael doubles his score, he’ll have 25,400.

To cover this all-in wager, Greg will need to wager 8,000.

Michael
Ellen
Greg
12,700 -2,600 17,400
12,700 8,000
25,400 25,400
min max min max
8,000

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Greg with 9,400.

To stay above his total, Michael can wager up to 3,300.

Michael
Ellen
Greg
12,700 -2,600 17,400
3,300 8,000
9,400 9,400
min max min max
3,300 8,000

Second-order calculations

If Michael makes the rational maximum wager of 3,300, Greg will need to wager 1,400 to stay above him.

Michael
Ellen
Greg
12,700 -2,600 17,400
3,300 1,400
16,000 16,000
min max min max
3,300 8,000
1,400

In that case, Michael would have to wager 6,100 and respond correctly. Might as well go all-in there.

Michael
Ellen
Greg
12,700 -2,600 17,400
6,100 1,400
18,800 18,800
min max min max
3,300 8,000
6,100* 1,400

Zero wagers

Just in case Michael goes for the nonsensical 4,701 wager (to cover Greg’s zero), Greg should cap his risk at 9,400.

Michael
Ellen
Greg
12,700 -2,600 17,400
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max
3,300 8,000 9,400
6,100* 1,400

Then we add a dollar to the minimum wagers, and subtract a dollar from the maximum wagers.

What actually happened

Michael Ellen Greg
12,700 -2,600 17,400
1,000 8,001
13,700 25,401
min max min max
3,299 8,001 9,399
12,700 1,399

Go big, or go home, right?

In the past, I’ve listed the “big” wager as my preferred wager for the trailer. I’ve run the stats on that, and… well, stay tuned.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

ART IN THE CITY
GERMAN CITY WHERE YOU’LL FIND THE STATUE SEEN HERE

FJ042315

(Thanks to JBoard user jeff6286 for uploading this)

Correct response: Show
previous week same week following week
13 14 15 16 17 20 21 22 23 24 27 28 29 30 1
Leave a Comment

What do you think?