Skip to content
March 19, 2015

Thursday, March 19, 2015

previous week same week following week
9 10 11 12 13 16 17 18 19 20 23 24 25 26 27

Last night, Andrea Keleher stormed back to take the lead on the penultimate clue, allowing her to secure a victory over 5xer Kristin Sausville. Will she begin a streak of her own?The Final Wager – March 19, 2015

[Video should be available by midnight Eastern]

With a Final category like this, this librarian has probably as good a shot as any, even though she’s in second place.

Andrea

Keleher

Gina

Shaddox

Brandon

Bidlack

11,400 11,200 13,000

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

LITERARY ANAGRAMS

Andrea really should be in third, but Gina botched the Penultimate Wager, putting up $2,000 when she had a $200 advantage over Brandon.

When you have a situation like that, you know you have to get just one clue right to win the game. The question in front of you is: will it be this one, or the next one?

If you like your chances on this clue, go for at least $12,801. If you don’t, no more than $199 to preserve the lead.

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

If Andrea doubles her score, she’ll have 22,800.

To cover this all-in wager, Brandon will need to wager 9,800.

Andrea
Gina
Brandon
11,400 11,200 13,000
11,400 9,800
22,800 22,800
min max min max min max
9,800

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Brandon with 3,200.

To stay above his total, Andrea can wager up to 8,200.

Gina can wager up to 8,000.

Andrea
Gina
Brandon
11,400 11,200 13,000
8,200 8,000 9,800
3,200 3,200 3,200
min max min max min max
8,200 8,000 9,800

Third doubles up

A successful doubling will put Gina at 22,400.

To cover this, Andrea should wager at least 11,000. In this case, though, she will lose on an incorrect response, so she might as well wager everything.

Andrea
Gina
Brandon
11,400 11,200 13,000
11,000 11,200 9,400
22,400 22,400 22,400
min max min max min max
8,200 8,000 9,800
11,000*

Here’s where things stand after the first order:

Andrea
Gina
Brandon
11,400 11,200 13,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
8,200 8,000 9,800
11,000*

Second-order calculations

Third’s max vs. first

Andrea Gina Brandon
11,400 11,200 13,000
7,800 8,000
19,200 19,200
min max min max min max
7,800 8,200 8,000 9,800
11,000*

If she’s wrong with that wager, she’ll be left with 3,600. So Gina should really cap hers at 7,600.

Andrea Gina Brandon
11,400 11,200 13,000
7,800 7,600
3,600 3,600
min max min max min max
7,800 8,200 7,600 9,800
11,000* 8,000

Zero wagers

Andrea can stay above Gina by wagering less than 200.

Brandon, even more questionably, can guarantee a win on the triple-stumper with a wager of less than 1,600.

Gina should wager at least 3,600 to cover both possibilities.

Andrea
Gina
Brandon
11,400 11,200 13,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
7,800 8,200 3,600 7,600 9,800
11,000* 8,000
200 1,600

What actually happened

Andrea Gina Brandon
11,400 11,200 13,000
10,000 200 9,801
1,400 11,000 3,199
min max min max min max
11,400 3,601 7,599 9,801
7,801 8,199
199 1,599

Gina’s bad Penultimate Wager actually saved her bacon here. Sometimes the outcome is better than the process…

Last night’s wager from Andrea should have tipped me off that maybe she wasn’t prepared. $10k is a stab in the dark.

I’ve included a few thoughts on how to arrive at the correct response to this puzzle.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

LITERARY ANAGRAMS
VIVIAN DARKBLOOM, A MINOR CHARACTER IN A 1955 NOVEL BY THIS FOREIGN BORN AUTHOR, IS AN ANAGRAM OF HIS NAME
Correct response: Show
previous week same week following week
9 10 11 12 13 16 17 18 19 20 23 24 25 26 27
8 Comments
  1. I actually watch that show.

  2. Aaron Fisher permalink

    I’m not convinced that 0-199 and 12801 were the only good choices on the last daily double.

    A penultimate wager of 6301 (for the crush) would have been a reasonable third option. Missing there leaves her with 6899 and gives her a nice 2202-3699 wager range on FJ. She would still win with a solo-get, but the real prize is a chance to win on a triple-stumper if Andrea goes big.

    I think there’s enough equity there if she misses on the DD to make up for having a crush instead of a lock if she gets it. Moreso if Andrea isn’t a great wagerer.

    • Good point, Aaron – I’ll think this through. Thanks!

    • Ron Saputo permalink

      Unfortunately, I do not follow this thought. IMHO, if the contestant is trying to protect themselves from making an error on the PW to have a better chance in FJ, then why wouldn’t they just wager the 0-199 range?

      • Kelly permalink

        The reasoning is that if you can obtain a crush on the upside you’ll win a triple-stumper Final whereas you probably won’t by merely keeping the lead. I think any of the three options (keep the lead, go for the crush if right with some hope remaining if wrong, or ride it all on the DD and go for the lock) are perfectly viable.

    • Ron Saputo permalink

      …….and, of course, go into FJ with the lead.

  3. Ron Saputo permalink

    I understand the point, but why take the chance of losing control of your own destiny if, as Keith always says, you showed up to win?

  4. aaaa permalink

    Cyberial cigar uno for Gina for winning her first game thanks to FJ! wagering from third place and the triple stumper. Well done my dear(lights Gina’s Portofino)

What do you think?