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March 17, 2015

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

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We’ve got a guy named Colin at the third podium tonight – let’s see if he can use the luck o’ the Irish to put an end to Kristin Sausville’s run.

He would have had this game locked up had he not received a devilish $1,200 clue for his second Daily Double. That was a $12,000 swing there.

Kristin

Sausville

Irene

Brockman

Colin

Gleeson

12,800 1,800 19,000

The $400 clue that Kristin pulled right before the bell sounded was huge – it put her within 2/3 of Colin’s score, meaning she could win if they both miss.

The deciding category tonight is:

NUMBERS

Hmm. Did I not do a Fact Primer on a certain type of number just a month ago? Oh yeah, I did.

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

If Kristin doubles her score, she’ll have 25,600.

To cover this all-in wager, Colin will need to wager 6,600.

Kristin
Irene
Colin
12,800 1,800 19,000
12,800 6,600
25,600 25,600
min max min max min max
6,600

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Colin with 12,400.

To stay above his total, Kristin can wager up to 400.

Kristin
Irene
Colin
12,800 1,800 19,000
400 6,600
12,400 12,400
min max min max min max
400 6,600

Irene had some really tough competition tonight. Here’s where things stand after the first order:

Kristin
Irene
Colin
12,800 1,800 19,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
400 6,600

Second-order calculations

Second’s max vs. first

If Kristin makes the rational maximum wager of 400, Colin can wager up to 5,800 to stay above her.

Kristin
Irene
Colin
12,800 1,800 19,000
400 5,800
13,200 13,200
min max min max min max
400 6,600
5,800

If he’s correct with that wager, he’ll have 24,800.

In that case, Kristin would have to wager 12,000 and respond correctly. Might as well max out in that case.

Kristin
Irene
Colin
12,800 1,800 19,000
12,000 5,800
24,800 24,800
min max min max min max
400 6,600
12,000 5,800

Zero wagers

These won’t come into play since Colin has that maximum 5,800 wager. Our final ranges are:

Kristin
Irene
Colin
12,800 1,800 19,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
400 6,600
12,000 5,800

What does each player do? Colin has been aggressive the whole game, so Kristin is probably tempted to go for a small wager.

Colin might recognize this and go small, hoping to guarantee himself a win… but then again, Kristin is a very strong player, and might put her chips on herself. Hmm.

What actually happened

Kristin Irene Colin
12,800 1,800 19,000
399 1,800 6,601
13,199 3,600 12,399
min max min max min max
12,800 6,601
399 5,799

Poor Colin – I’m sure he knows “1” is not a prime number, but his brain froze onstage. He played the game about as well as you could ask, and I have no doubt he could have put up a monster run. That’s why Jeopardy! is such a fickle beast.

Speaking of the prime number Fact Primer, I’m pretty sure I published it after this game filmed, so I can’t claim credit for anyone’s correct response.

We haven’t had a six-timer since Julia Collins – will Kristin break that streak? Find out tomorrow!

Tournament of Champions standings

Rank Last game Name Wins Winnings
1 15 Jan 2015 John Schultz 5 $104,500
2 02 Jan 2015 Vaughn Winchell 5 $103,103
3 active Kristin Sausville 5 $94,201
4 08 Jan 2015 Elliot Yates 4 $65,000
5 22 Oct 2014 Alexander Persaud 3 $61,000
6 03 Nov 2014 Ryan Alley 3 $56,800
7 15 Oct 2014 Shane Curtis 3 $42,001
8 25 Feb 2015 Dava-Leigh Brush 3 $31,501
TT 13 Feb 2015 Jennifer Giles $100,000

The Final Jeopardy! clue

NUMBERS
THIS 2-DIGIT NUMBER IS THE SMALLEST PRIME NUMBER WHOSE DIGITS ARE BOTH THEMSELVES PRIME NUMBERS
Correct response: Show
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5 Comments
  1. Jordan permalink

    Could you argue that Irene may want to cap her wager at 1799 in case Kristin does decide to go big?

    Apologies if this has already been addressed on the appropriate topic, but in the leaderboard, is it worth it to include the top 5 2-game champs as of now, and then knock them out as appropriate (I only say this because you technically never know?

    Again, also could’ve been asked already, but is it 100% confirmed that people like Catherine Hardee and Molly Lalonde have zero chance of making this tournament?

    And perhaps the most important question, will Kristin stick with a green color for next week or go for the swerve?

    -UniquePerspective

    • Kelly permalink

      Since ToCs are not held on any fixed schedule if they didn’t have enough 3+ game winners I think they’d just delay the tournament until there was a sufficient field (thus as on JBoard I don’t think there’s any need to include 2-timers on the list).

    • I agree with Kelly. And I have the cut-off date of October 10 from someone on staff (although TPTB could always change their minds).

  2. Since 399 is exactly one of the suggested wagers (and the one I would have gone with personally despite being a math whiz), why orange for Kristin and not green?

    • Making some basic assumptions, the ideal mixed strategy in this situation for both players is to wager “big” 2/3 of the time, “small” 1/3 of the time.

      Orange is just as good as green in my book, but I consider it an “alternative” wager.

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