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March 16, 2015

Monday, March 16, 2015

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I posted the first part of my new tutorial over the weekend. As part of that, I gussied up my calculator a bit – let’s see how it looks.The Final Wager – March 16, 2015

Looks pretty good, I must say. Check it out below and let me know what you think.

Of particular note in tonight’s game: Alex’s pronunciation of Cart-MAN from South Park.

Kristin did a great job tonight – although I don’t like when Alex brings up streaks so early in a run. Will it jinx her? We’ll find out tomorrow at the earliest, because she’s got this in the bag.

Kristin

Sausville

Pauline

Sholtys

Darren

Shea

24,200 9,800 7,000

UNLESS, of course, she goes wild with this stay-at-home-mom-friendly category:

KIDS’ TV CHARACTERS

The fun stuff will come between Pauline and Darren.

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

Kristin has her fourth win locked up; she can wager up to 4,600.

Kristin
Pauline
Darren
24,200 9,800 7,000
4,600 9,800
19,600 19,600
min max min max min max
4,600

Third doubles up

A successful doubling will put Darren at 14,000.

To cover this, Pauline should wager 4,200.

Kristin
Pauline
Darren
24,200 9,800 7,000
4,200 7,000
14,000 14,000
min max min max min max
4,600 4,200

If Pauline is incorrect with that wager, Darren can wager up to 1,400 to stay above her total.

Kristin
Pauline
Darren
24,200 9,800 7,000
4,200 1,400
5,600 5,600
min max min max min max
4,600 4,200 1,400

Here’s where things stand after the first order:

Kristin
Pauline
Darren
24,200 9,800 7,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
4,600 4,200 1,400

Second-order calculations

We go into mind games for second place.

Third’s max vs. second

Darren can wager at most 1,400. With a correct response, he’ll have 8,400.

To stay above this, Pauline can wager at most 1,400.

Kristin
Pauline
Darren
24,200 9,800 7,000
1,400 1,400
8,400 8,400
min max min max min max
4,600 4,200 1,400
1,400

If she is correct, Pauline will have 11,200.

To account for this, Darren will need to wager at least 4,200.

Kristin
Pauline
Darren
24,200 9,800 7,000
1,400 4,200
11,200 11,200
min max min max min max
4,600 4,200 1,400
1,400 4,200

Now, after two orders of analysis:

Kristin
Pauline
Darren
24,200 9,800 7,000
FIRST-ORDER SECOND-ORDER COVER ZERO
min max min max min max
4,600 4,200 1,400
1,400 4,200

Zero wagers

No real reason to worry about these here; just add and subtract the $1 where necessary (although we don’t need to do this for Pauline, since she’ll win the tiebreaker for second).

What actually happened

Both challengers correctly went “big”.

One other note: as soon as the category was revealed, I reflexively shouted at the screen what turned out to be the correct response. Love it when that happens.

Rank Last game Name Wins Winnings
1 15 Jan 2015 John Schultz 5 $104,500
2 02 Jan 2015 Vaughn Winchell 5 $103,103
3 active Kristin Sausville 4 $81,002
4 08 Jan 2015 Elliot Yates 4 $65,000
5 22 Oct 2014 Alexander Persaud 3 $61,000
6 03 Nov 2014 Ryan Alley 3 $56,800
7 15 Oct 2014 Shane Curtis 3 $42,001
8 25 Feb 2015 Dava-Leigh Brush 3 $31,501
auto 13 Feb 2015 Jennifer Giles TT $100,000

As to why Kristin didn’t snag that extra $599, she made a good point:

Until tomorrow…

The Final Jeopardy! clue

KIDS’ TV CHARACTERS
MARQUEZ IS THE LAST NAME OF THIS CHARACTER WHO DEBUTED IN 2000
Correct response: Show
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