Monday, March 16, 2015
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I posted the first part of my new tutorial over the weekend. As part of that, I gussied up my calculator a bit – let’s see how it looks.
Looks pretty good, I must say. Check it out below and let me know what you think.
Of particular note in tonight’s game: Alex’s pronunciation of Cart-MAN from South Park.
Kristin did a great job tonight – although I don’t like when Alex brings up streaks so early in a run. Will it jinx her? We’ll find out tomorrow at the earliest, because she’s got this in the bag.
Kristin Sausville |
Pauline Sholtys |
Darren Shea |
24,200 | 9,800 | 7,000 |
UNLESS, of course, she goes wild with this stay-at-home-mom-friendly category:
KIDS’ TV CHARACTERS |
The fun stuff will come between Pauline and Darren.
First-order calculations
Second doubles up
Kristin has her fourth win locked up; she can wager up to 4,600.
Kristin |
Pauline |
Darren | |||
24,200 | 9,800 | 7,000 | |||
4,600 | 9,800 | ||||
19,600 | 19,600 | ||||
min | max | min | max | min | max |
4,600 | |||||
Third doubles up
A successful doubling will put Darren at 14,000.
To cover this, Pauline should wager 4,200.
Kristin |
Pauline |
Darren | |||
24,200 | 9,800 | 7,000 | |||
4,200 | 7,000 | ||||
14,000 | 14,000 | ||||
min | max | min | max | min | max |
4,600 | 4,200 | ||||
If Pauline is incorrect with that wager, Darren can wager up to 1,400 to stay above her total.
Kristin |
Pauline |
Darren | |||
24,200 | 9,800 | 7,000 | |||
4,200 | 1,400 | ||||
5,600 | 5,600 | ||||
min | max | min | max | min | max |
4,600 | 4,200 | 1,400 | |||
Here’s where things stand after the first order:
Kristin |
Pauline |
Darren | |||
24,200 | 9,800 | 7,000 | |||
FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
min | max | min | max | min | max |
4,600 | 4,200 | 1,400 | |||
Second-order calculations
We go into mind games for second place.
Third’s max vs. second
Darren can wager at most 1,400. With a correct response, he’ll have 8,400.
To stay above this, Pauline can wager at most 1,400.
Kristin |
Pauline |
Darren | |||
24,200 | 9,800 | 7,000 | |||
1,400 | 1,400 | ||||
8,400 | 8,400 | ||||
min | max | min | max | min | max |
4,600 | 4,200 | 1,400 | |||
1,400 | |||||
If she is correct, Pauline will have 11,200.
To account for this, Darren will need to wager at least 4,200.
Kristin |
Pauline |
Darren | |||
24,200 | 9,800 | 7,000 | |||
1,400 | 4,200 | ||||
11,200 | 11,200 | ||||
min | max | min | max | min | max |
4,600 | 4,200 | 1,400 | |||
1,400 | 4,200 | ||||
Now, after two orders of analysis:
Kristin |
Pauline |
Darren | |||
24,200 | 9,800 | 7,000 | |||
FIRST-ORDER | SECOND-ORDER | COVER ZERO | |||
min | max | min | max | min | max |
4,600 | 4,200 | 1,400 | |||
1,400 | 4,200 | ||||
Zero wagers
No real reason to worry about these here; just add and subtract the $1 where necessary (although we don’t need to do this for Pauline, since she’ll win the tiebreaker for second).
What actually happened
Both challengers correctly went “big”.
One other note: as soon as the category was revealed, I reflexively shouted at the screen what turned out to be the correct response. Love it when that happens.
Rank | Last game | Name | Wins | Winnings |
1 | 15 Jan 2015 | John Schultz | 5 | $104,500 |
2 | 02 Jan 2015 | Vaughn Winchell | 5 | $103,103 |
3 | active | Kristin Sausville | 4 | $81,002 |
4 | 08 Jan 2015 | Elliot Yates | 4 | $65,000 |
5 | 22 Oct 2014 | Alexander Persaud | 3 | $61,000 |
6 | 03 Nov 2014 | Ryan Alley | 3 | $56,800 |
7 | 15 Oct 2014 | Shane Curtis | 3 | $42,001 |
8 | 25 Feb 2015 | Dava-Leigh Brush | 3 | $31,501 |
auto | 13 Feb 2015 | Jennifer Giles | TT | $100,000 |
As to why Kristin didn’t snag that extra $599, she made a good point:
.@TheFinalWager just wanted to keep the math simple. Ended up feeling lucky as it was since my kids were never really into that show.
— Kristin Sausville (@ksausville) March 16, 2015
Until tomorrow…
The Final Jeopardy! clue
KIDS’ TV CHARACTERS |
MARQUEZ IS THE LAST NAME OF THIS CHARACTER WHO DEBUTED IN 2000 |
Correct response: | Show> |
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