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March 6, 2015

Friday, March 6, 2015

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BRILLIANT IDEAS for $1,600: Keith should know better than to watch Jeopardy! hereThe Final Wager – March 6, 2015

The correct question: Did he really watch it at the gym again?

Why??

For my earliest examples of what happens when I watch on the treadmill, check out here and here.

Laura

Lorson

Nic

Pereira

Rachael

Sims

13,800 10,000 19,500

We have a wordy Final Jeopardy! category tonight:

ROCK AND ROLL HALL OF FAME INDUCTION SPEECHES

Laura is in Stratton’s Dilemma, so we’ll see which way she goes.

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

If Laura doubles her score, she’ll have 27,600.

To cover, Rachael will need to wager 8,100.

Laura Nic Rachael
13,800 10,000 19,500
13,800 8,100
27,600 27,600

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Rachael with 11,400.

To stay above her total, Laura can wager up to 2,400.

Nic must respond correctly to have a shot, so all-in is the way to go.

Laura Nic Rachael
13,800 10,000 19,500
2,400 1,400 8,100
11,400 11,400 11,400

Third doubles up

A successful doubling will put Nic at 20,000.

To cover this, Laura should wager at least 6,200, which means she might as well go for everything.

Rachael would need to wager at least 500.

Laura Nic Rachael
13,800 10,000 19,500
6,200 10,000 500
20,000 20,000 20,000

Here’s where things stand after the first order:

Second-order calculations

Second’s max vs. first

Ignoring Nic for now, if Laura makes the rational maximum wager of 2,400, Rachael will need to wager 3,300 to stay above her.

Laura Nic Rachael
13,800 10,000 19,500
2,400 3,300
16,200 16,200

And that is that.

My preference is for everyone to wager big, but with a category like this one, some players might be more reluctant.

What actually happened

Strangely enough, Rachael had the best wager of the three.

Here’s why you wager everything if you need to get it right to have a chance:

With his 3,000 wager, Nic has no chance to win – which is why he gets the black.

Laura is going to lose if she’s wrong either way, but by withholding some of her total, she will lose if she’s right.

If you’re gonna play, don’t play for second place.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

ROCK AND ROLL HALL OF FAME INDUCTION SPEECHES
SPRINGSTEEN SAID DAVID SANCIOUS WAS “THE ONLY MEMBER OF THE GROUP WHO EVER ACTUALLY LIVED” THERE
Correct response: Show
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One Comment
  1. jdgalt permalink

    The first “here” points back to 9/30/13. I think you intended 10/3/13.

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