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February 26, 2015

Thursday, February 26, 2015

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Of our past eight champions, seven have been women. Will this outchange continue?The Final Wager – February 26, 2015

Doesn’t look too promising – I was hoping Lily would take a stab at that penultimate clue for $2,000, because it was the only way she could put herself in contention.

Laura

Gallo

Lily

Foss

Jose

Garriga

8,200 2,600 12,000

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

FOREIGN LEADERS

Lily has less than the difference between Jose and Laura, so she is eliminated from winning (barring a Christina wager out of Jose).

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

If Laura doubles her score, she’ll have 16,400.

To cover this all-in wager, Jose will need to wager 4,400.

Laura Lily Jose
8,200 2,600 12,000
8,200 4,400
16,400 16,400

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Jose with 7,600.

To stay above his total, Laura can wager up to 600.

Laura Lily Jose
8,200 2,600 12,000
600 4,400
7,600 7,600

Third doubles up

A successful doubling will put Lily at 5,200.

To stay above her, Laura can wager at most 3,000 (but that’s irrelevant here).

Jose could wager at most 6,800.

Laura Lily Jose
8,200 2,600 12,000
3,000 2,600 6,800
5,200 5,200 5,200

Here’s where things stand after the first order:

Second-order calculations

Second’s max vs. first

If Laura makes the rational maximum wager of 600, Jose will need to wager 3,200 to stay above her.

Laura Lily Jose
8,200 2,600 12,000
600 3,200
8,800 8,800

If he’s wrong with that wager, he’ll be left with 15,200.

In that case, Laura would have to wager 7,000 and respond correctly.

Laura Lily Jose
8,200 2,600 12,000
7,000 3,200
15,200 15,200

And now, after two orders:

Since that 7,000 will put Laura out of contention if she misses, she might as well bet the farm. The 7,000 wager is also why I suggest Lily cap hers at 1,399.

What actually happened

Laura fails to cover a smaller-range wager out of Jose, which is why she gets the pink.

Laura Lily Jose
8,200 2,600 12,000
5,000 2,000
13,200 14,000

Maybe a few of you got tonight’s Final because of my second-ever Fact Primer. There’s a new entry headed your way tomorrow!

The Final Jeopardy! clue

FOREIGN LEADERS
ON FEB. 25, 1956, HE GAVE A SPEECH “ON THE PERSONALITY CULT AND ITS CONSEQUENCES”, SEEN AS AN ATTACK ON HIS PREDECESSOR
Correct response: Show

 

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