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February 25, 2015

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

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After breaking our nearly four-week drought without a 3-timer, Dava-Leigh goes for number four. Will she get it?The Final Wager February 25, 2015

She’ll need some help here tonight – but then again, she’s no stranger to the come-from-behind win.

Dava-Leigh

Brush

Michael

Camiel

Laura

Gallo

8,200 5,800 12,600

Our players will deal with this Final Jeopardy! category:

LANGUAGES

Let’s look at the math.

First-order calculations

Second doubles up

If Dava-Leigh doubles her score, she’ll have 16,400.

To cover this all-in wager, Laura will need to wager 3,800.

Dava-Leigh Michael Laura
8,200 5,800 12,600
8,200 3,800
16,400 16,400

An incorrect response with that wager will leave Laura with 8,800.

Both Dava-Leigh and Michael must respond correctly to have a shot, so they might as well wager everything.

Dava-Leigh Michael Laura
8,200 5,800 12,600
600 3,000 3,800
8,800 8,800 8,800

What actually happened

Had Dava-Leigh responded correctly, she would have left $3,700 on the table. That’s one reason I suggest players wager everything if they must respond correctly to win.

The other: the possibility for a math error. The most famous example came in the Season 19 TOC Finals, when Brian Weikle miscalculated by $200.

I realized after originally publishing this that Laura has another somewhat-reasonable wager: 999, keeping her ahead of Michael regardless of what happens.

Dava-Leigh Michael Laura
8,200 5,800 12,600
5,800 999
11,600 11,601

She might consider this if she feels completely unconfident in the category.

Dava-Leigh Michael Laura
8,200 5,800 12,600
4,500 999
12,700 13,599

Since Dava-Leigh’s wager fails to take this possibility into account, she should actually get a pink.

Final Jeopardy wagering February 25, 2015 revised

I have some thoughts on the Final clue, too – they’re in the spoiler box below.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

LANGUAGES
THEY’RE THE 2 STATES WITH THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE OF PEOPLE WHO SPEAK FRENCH AT HOME
Correct response: Show

 

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2 Comments
  1. GCM permalink

    It is a well-known fact, both for the reason you said, and also think about the people who live in the other, more obvious state, and then think about a national park in the less obvious state. (Hopefully this isn’t too spoiler-y.)

  2. jdgalt permalink

    I guessed Idaho as the second one, because it is full of names like Coeur d’Alene and Boise (pronounced bwozz if you are a French speaker).

What do you think?