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February 13, 2015

Two-day comebacks from third place

Addendum: I also looked at second-place comebacks from huge deficits.

After last night’s game, Alex made his typical comment designed to lift the spirits of the third-place player: that the tournament is often won by someone storming back from a huge deficit.

Out of the 77 multi-game events in the J! Archive, the player in last place after Day One has won just eight times. In fact, one player came back from a deficit of 25,000(!).Meryl Federman comeback

Mounting a comeback is no easy feat. After all, not only do you have to amass a large score on the second game, you have to do so while probably feeling like you’ve been punched in the stomach.

Here’s a full list of all of the comebacks, ranked in descending order of deficit. A more thorough assessment of Alex’s trope will come at a future time.

Meryl Federman, 2007 Teen Tournament

Trailed Greg Peterson by 25,000 (needed to lead by 12,500 on Day Two)
Trailed Kyle Neblett by 18,000 (needed to lead by 9,000 on Day Two)

Greg Peterson Kyle Neblett Meryl Federman
D1 Pre-Final 19,400 12,200 4,400
D1 Final Wager 5,600 5,800 4,400
D1 Total 25,000 18,000 0
D2 Pre-Final 6,800 9,200 22,000
D2 Final Wager 6,800 9,200 16,601
D2 Total 13,600 18,400 38,601
Grand Total 38,600 36,400 38,601

Leonard Cooper, 2013 Teen Tournament

Trailed Nilai Sarda by 16,000 (needed to lead by 8,000 on Day Two)
Trailed Barrett Block by 14,600 (needed to lead by 7,300 on Day Two)

Nilai Sarda Barrett Block Leonard Cooper
D1 Pre-Final 16,400 8,800 10,000
D1 Final Wager 2,600 8,800 7,000
D1 Total 19,000 17,600 3,000
D2 Pre-Final 14,400 9,000 37,000
D2 Final Wager 7,000 9,000 0
D2 Total 7,400 18,000 37,000
Grand Total 26,400 35,600 40,000

Mark Lowenthal, 1988 TOC

Trailed Sandra Gore by 8,000 (needed to lead by 4,000 on Day Two)
Trailed Bruce Naegeli by 7,800 (needed to lead by 3,900 on Day Two)

Bruce Naegeli Sandra Gore Mark Lowenthal
D1 Pre-Final 6,400 10,500 6,800
D1 Final Wager 6,400 2,500 1,800
D1 Total 12,800 13,000 5,000
D2 Pre-Final 5,600 5,000 10,900
D2 Final Wager 399 5,000 8,101
D2 Total 5,999 0 19,001
Grand Total 18,799 13,000 24,001

Papa Chakravarthy, 2006 Teen Tournament

Trailed Matt Klein by 7,800 (needed to lead by 3,900 on Day Two)
Trailed Andrew Kreitz by 2,500 (needed to lead by 1,250 on Day Two)

Andrew Kreitz Papa Chakravarthy Matt Klein
D1 Pre-Final 8,400 5,500 19,000
D1 Final Wager 1,900 1,500 7,200
D1 Total 6,500 4,000 11,800
D2 Pre-Final 4,600 23,000 8,400
D2 Final Wager 4,599 1,601 8,400
D2 Total 9,199 24,601 0
Grand Total 15,699 28,601 11,800

Bob Verini, 1987 TOC

Trailed Dave Traini by 3,800 (needed to lead by 1,900 on Day Two)
Trailed Eugene Finerman by 3,000 (needed to lead by 1,500 on Day Two)

Dave Traini Eugene Finerman Bob Verini
D1 Pre-Final 4,600 3,400 5,900
D1 Final Wager 3,000 3,400 2,100
D1 Total 7,600 6,800 3,800
D2 Pre-Final 4,200 2,400 11,000
D2 Final Wager 4,200 2,400 1,201
D2 Total 8,400 4,800 12,201
Grand Total 16,000 11,600 16,001

Dave Abbott, 1999 TOC

Trailed J.J. Todor by 1,900 (needed to lead by 950 on Day Two)
Trailed Juliet Wiley by 300 (needed to lead by 150 on Day Two)

Juliet Wiley J.J. Todor Dave Abbott
D1 Pre-Final 4,400 6,000 5,600
D1 Final Wager 3,000 3,000 1,500
D1 Total 7,400 9,000 7,100
D2 Pre-Final 4,100 5,800 7,200
D2 Final Wager 4,000 5,800 7,200
D2 Total 100 11,600 14,400
Grand Total 7,500 20,600 21,500

Brad Rutter, 2005 UTOC semifinals

Trailed John Cuthbertson by 3,500 (needed to lead by 1,750 on Day Two)
Tied with Chris Miller

Brad Rutter Chris Miller John Cuthbertson
D1 Pre-Final 14,200 7,200 8,000
D1 Final Wager 4,200 2,800 5,500
D1 Total 10,000 10,000 13,500
D2 Pre-Final 26,600 5,200 7,800
D2 Final Wager 0 5,000 6,101
D2 Total 26,600 200 1,699
Grand Total 36,600 10,200 15,199

Jim Coury, 2013 College Championship

Trailed Trevor Walker by 2,400 (needed to lead by 1,200 on Day Two)
Trailed Kristen Jolley by 1,400 (needed to lead by 700 on Day Two)

Jim Coury Trevor Walker Kristen Jolley
D1 Pre-Final 17,200 11,800 13,000
D1 Final Wager 8,600 800 3,000
D1 Total 8,600 11,000 10,000
D2 Pre-Final 14,200 8,200 8,600
D2 Final Wager 11,789 3,601 4,199
D2 Total 25,989 4,599 4,401
Grand Total 34,589 15,599 14,401
4 Comments
  1. Greg permalink

    If only Nilai had gotten that FJ right. Coulda won it.

    • William Weyser permalink

      You’re right, Greg! I noticed that well over 2 years.

  2. Ben permalink

    Interesting. In three of the nine comebacks, the third place player had the lead going into FJ on Day 1.

What do you think?