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January 13, 2015

The Final Wager – Tue 13 Jan 2015

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If our champ continues his rampage tonight, I might have to start talking about Streaks of Virility.The Final Wager – January 13, 2015

John’s got numero quatro locked up – and these scores make things pretty easy for me.

John Schultz Jeremy Reff Abbie Micucci
16,000 5,200 3,000

Tonight’s Final Jeopardy! category is:

BROADWAY MUSICALS

Calculations

John has it locked up; he can wager up to 5,599.

A successful doubling will put Abbie at 6,000. To cover this, Jeremy should wager 800 and no more.

If he’s wrong with that wager, he’ll be left with 4,400, which is more than Abbie has. Abbie should go all in.

What actually happened

A better wager wouldn’t have saved Jeremy here, but let’s consider process over outcome. What happens if Abbie wagers 2,201? Jeremy will lose no matter what if he misses, for no reason.

The Final Jeopardy! clue

BROADWAY MUSICALS

“IOWA STUBBORN” WAS THE SECOND SONG HEARD IN THIS SHOW WHEN IT OPENED IN 1957

Correct response: Show

 

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2 Comments
  1. Pat Russell permalink

    In the last 10 regular games (counting tonight) in which we had three players in Final Jeopardy we have the following result: In 2 cases all three got it right = easy. 3 cases of 1 right + 4 cases of 2 right = 7 ok and 1 case of 0 right = hard. So that’s a “final jeopardy degree of difficulty = just right” score of 70%.

    I have decided to revise the “average degree of difficulty” calculation to produce a more intuitive score where a higher number indicates more difficulty. You can convert the old degree of difficulty ratings to the new ones by subtracting the old number from 3.0. So, as of today the “average degree of difficulty” score (higher is harder) is 1.30.

    The “no triple stumper on FJ” streak now stands at 1 day.

  2. J R permalink

    I had no incentive to finish second. – jr

    Plus I was bummed about not getting to 1/2 of John’s score despite having to play very aggressively in dj.

What do you think?