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November 27, 2014

The Final Wager – Thu 27 Nov 2014

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I’m almost done developing my new calculation process – and this is a good night to test it out.The Final Wager – November 27, 2014

Happy Thanksgiving! Our players filled their plates early in the game, and had little room left in the second round. Except for Aggie, that is – she came out of nowhere toward the end.

Aggie Lee: 12,600
Michelle Chick: 11,000
David Greisman: 7,600

The Final Jeopardy! category: BODIES OF WATER

I’ll explain these calculations in greater detail in the video and probably in writing later, but for now, a brief overview of the new process.

First-order analysis

We look at how each player reacts to double-ups by second and third, and the logical responses to those lockout wagers.

Final Jeopardy wagering November 27, 2014 first-order

Second-order analysis

Next, we look at what someone ahead should do if a trailer wagers the logical maximum from the first-order analysis. (We could repeat this ad infinitum, but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves.)

Final Jeopardy wagering November 27, 2014 second-order

Zero wagers

Finally, we take opponents’ zero wagers into account. If you’re behind, if possible, you want to cover a zero and an “unsafe” wager by those in front of you; if you’re in front, you often want to compel a trailer to get it right to have a shot to beat you.

When we’re done with that, we add a dollar to each minimum wager, and subtract a dollar from each maximum wager.

What actually happened

Final Jeopardy wagering November 27, 2014

4,000 twice over? Paging Sarah McNitt!

Cory WHAAAAAT

David got off to a really good start with his unorthodox buzzing technique. In the end, however, it came down to a solo get on Final. The good wagering earns points with me.

David Greisman buzzer

The Final Jeopardy! clue

BODIES OF WATER

FIRST ENCOUNTERED IN 1648 BY A MAN BORN IN RUSSIA, IT WAS EVENTUALLY NAMED AFTER A MAN BORN IN DENMARK

Correct response: Show

 

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3 Comments
  1. I’ve heard the index-finger buzzing technique is actually faster–I certainly used it for the Toss-ups on Wheel of Fortune, but I also used it during high school swim meets. The timer’s trigger that stopped the clock looked like a Jeopardy! buzzer and I was told pressing the button with your index finger instead of your thumb made for a more accurate time.

    Did that make any sense?

    • Yeah, I’d heard that, too. I spent a few minutes today looking for scientific evidence but couldn’t find any – are you familiar with research along those lines?

  2. Pretty sure 5x champ (Dec. ’08) Ben Bishop advocated using the index finger as the fastest.
    http://www.j-archive.com/showplayer.php?player_id=5648

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