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September 30, 2014

Daily analysis, Tuesday, September 30

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What a day. You guys are in for a treat when the TOC airs starting November 10.The Final Wager – September 30, 2014

In other news, we have a regular game to play. Here are our scores heading into Final:

Elisa Korb: 11,200
Alex Champlin: 15,405
Silvia Lesko: 6,800

The Final Jeopardy! category: WORLD LEADERS

Now let’s see what each player should do.

Basic strategy – first vs. second

Alex should wager 6,995 to cover Elisa.

Elisa can wager up to 2,790 to stay above Alex if they’re both wrong.

Silvia is still alive, but must get it right.

Basic strategy – second vs. third

Elisa should wager 2,400 to cover Silvia.

Basic strategy – Rule #3

Elisa can’t safely cover a zero wager by Alex, since does not have 3/4 of his score.

Mind games – first vs. second

Let’s say Elisa makes the “safe” wager of at most 2,790. Should she go that route, Alex could guarantee a win by capping his wager at 1,415.

If she’s afraid of this, Elisa could bet the farm.

What actually happened

Wow. Not only do all three players miss a slam dunk of a clue, but the worst response — and wager! — takes the cake.

After watching five TOC games filmed, I should have found another way to round off my night. (Thanks to the fine folks at JBoard.tv for providing me with today’s information.)

The Final Jeopardy! clue

WORLD LEADERS

HE CAME TO POWER 34 DAYS BEFORE FDR & LEFT IT 19 DAYS AFTER HIM

Correct response: Show

 

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