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June 19, 2014

Daily analysis, Thursday, June 19

Still looking for a multi-day male champ. Is Ferris Bueller in the wings, perhaps?The Final Wager - June 19, 2014

The video will be up around 9:15 p.m. EDT.

Troy had a nice comeback after Angie stole his thunder with a True Daily Double. Had she snagged that last clue, conversely, they’d both have had 15,600, and we’d have some fun mind games to play.

Troy Senik: 16,000
Brian Keele: 6,400
Angie Rasmussen: 15,200

The Final Jeopardy! category: BUSINESS & INDUSTRY

Here’s what each player should do.

Basic strategy – first vs. second

Troy should wager 14,400.

Angie should wager at most 13,600.

Brian should wager at most 4,800.

Basic strategy – second vs. third

Angie can wager up to 2,400 to stay above Brian no matter what.

Basic strategy – Rule #3

Angie should wager at least 800 to cover a zero wager by Troy — and now we have a Shore’s Conjecture situation. This is the Strong Form, since Troy will fall below Brian if he makes the lockout bet.

She could also wager at least 1,600 to cover an “unsafe” wager by Troy.

Shore’s Conjecture wagers

Troy might wager 1,600 to cover a Shoretegic wager by Angie.

Angie might then cap her wager at 800 to stay above him if he’s wrong.

I could go through the others — e.g., Angie wagers up to 4,000 to stay above a rational wager by Brian — but I really doubt we’ll see something like that. (Sometimes the theoretical better remains that way.)

What actually happened

Angie’s huge overbet costs her the game and a sizable paycheck.

I don’t like that wager by Brian here; even though he’s technically allowed to wager everything, I wouldn’t assume Angie will put something in the 2,400 – 4,000 range (the only case in which wagering more than 4,800 makes sense for him).

The Final Jeopardy! clue for June 19, 2014 (BUSINESS & INDUSTRY):

FOUNDED IN 1908, THIS BIG COMPANY WAS REMOVED FROM THE S&P 500 IN 2009 AFTER FILING FOR BANKRUPTCY BUT RETURNED IN 2013

Correct response: Show

 

One Comment
  1. Anyone who can get this question wrong deserves to go down in flames!

What do you think?