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June 3, 2014

Daily analysis, Tuesday, June 3

Weird seeing a MAN at the champ’s podium tonight. Will a woman reclaim the prize?The Final Wager - June 3, 2014

Mathematically, it’s down to just two, and Brian’s got a slim lead once again. (Video will appear tomorrow.)

Brian Loughnane: 13,200
Sarah Fremgen: 11,000
Peter Dyakowski: 1,200

The Final Jeopardy! category: COLLEGES & UNIVERSITIES

Here’s what each player should do.

Basic strategy – first vs. second

Brian should wager 8,800 to cover Sarah.

Sarah should wager no more than 6,600 (Rule #2), and at least 4,400 (Rule #3).

Peter is out of contention, as he can have at most 2,400.

Mind games

Brian might wager 4,400 to cover Sarah’s maximum “small” wager.

In response, Sarah might wager 2,200 so as not to fall below Brian – but if she’s right, she’ll have exactly Brian’s pre-Final total!

That means that Brian might wager zero – if he really thinks Sarah will play this coyly. That would likely be a mistake.

We’ve just discovered, rather organically, a wager-to-tie situation, although not one I mention: Sarah has exactly 5/6 Brian’s score heading into the last clue. You do have to dig a bit deep to get there, though, so I won’t fault either player for missing it.

I can’t excuse Sarah from wagering far too much, however. She was the sole player to respond correctly, though, so we’ll see her at podium #1 tomorrow.

The Final Jeopardy! clue for June 3, 2014 (COLLEGES & UNIVERSITIES):

TEAM NICKNAMES OF THE 8 IVY LEAGUE SCHOOLS INCLUDE 4 ANIMALS, 3 COLORS & THIS CHRISTIAN DENOMINATION

Correct response: Show

 

2 Comments
  1. wjmorris3 permalink

    In general, it’s a wager to tie when the difference between 1st and 2nd evenly divides into first’s score. (this puts 2nd/1st in a ratio of N/N+1)

    • Ah, yes – I couldn’t remember who had pointed that out and didn’t want to mention it without citing. Thanks! I’ll add that.

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