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May 8, 2014

Daily analysis, Thursday, May 8 – Battle of the Decades, QF #4

Battle of the Decades – knockout rounds
Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 1 2
preliminary round

The nice thing about the quarterfinals is you don’t need to stop Ken Jennings, or even hope to contain him; you just need enough to guarantee a wild-card spot. Will Tom and Rachael do it – or will they stop Mr. 74 cold?The Final Wager - May 8, 2014

Ken just blasted through this one, although it would have been interesting to see him get that Papal Daily Double later in the round.

Tom Cubbage: 9,800
Rachael Schwartz: 3,800
Ken Jennings: 30,200

The Final Jeopardy! category: BRITISH THINKERS

Another fairly straightforward scenario, I think.

Tom should wager everything, probably; if he wants to stay small, he should cap his wager at 2,200 so as not to fall below Rachael.

Rachael should wager everything.

I really dislike softball Finals when other wild-card contenders have to face blisteringly hard clues. But that’s how the game works.

Each day I’ll update the standings with my estimated chances of advancing for the wild-card candidates. These are based on past data compiled for my tutorial.

Tonight, Tom and Leszek clinched wild-card berths; Pam’s probability of advancing stayed about the same.

Quarterfinal winners:

Roger Craig
Russ Schumacher
Brad Rutter
Ken Jennings

Wild-card standings, with estimated probability of advancing in parentheses:

Tom Cubbage:  19,500 (clinched)
Leszek Pawlowicz:  15,000 (clinched)
Pam Mueller:  14,798 (86%)
Rachael Schwartz:  7,600 (21%)
Tom Nosek:  2,400 (eliminated)
Dan Pawson:  399 (eliminated)
Mark Lowenthal:  300 (eliminated)
Robin Carroll:  0 (eliminated)

The Final Jeopardy! clue for May 8, 2014 (BRITISH THINKERS):

HIS WORKS INCLUDE “THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE PEACE” IN 1919 & “THE END OF LAISSEZ-FAIRE” FROM 1926

Correct response: Who was John Maynard Keynes?

2 Comments
  1. Adam permalink

    Did anyone else hear Jennings wager $1500 on the only land border double jeopardy and then get $5800 when he got it right? Kept waiting for them to correct the error and it never happened.

What do you think?