Skip to content
February 13, 2014

Daily analysis, Thursday, February 13 – 2014 College Championship, QF #4

2014 College Championship
Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 1 2

In this penultimate quarterfinal game, we’ve got Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, and Harvard. Who will be moving on to the semis?The Final Wager - February 13, 2014

A roller coaster of a game tonight, with a shout-out to someone’s graduation year.

Julia Clark (Harvard): 6,800
Tucker Pope (Texas A&M): 9,185
Eric Turner (Vanderbilt): 14,000

The Final Jeopardy! category: HISTORIC PLACES

Here’s how I’d handle each player’s situation.

Eric can go for 4,371 to clinch the win. If he’s not quite as confident, he can wager at most 399 to stay above Julia. (14,000 is in the 59th percentile for wild cards, historically.)

Tucker should wager at least 445 in case Eric goes for the outright win. Alternatively, I’d put up at least 5,215 to cover Eric’s “small” wager. (9,185 is in the 20th percentile.)

Julia should go all-in, as her score is not quite good enough as it is (14th percentile).

Thanks to her big wager, Julia locks up the second wild-card spot, joining Kevin Chen of UCLA as a semifinalist. Tucker might have some buyer’s remorse.

Each day I’ll update the standings with my estimated chances of advancing for the wild-card candidates. These are based on past data compiled for my tutorial.

Quarterfinal winners:

Whitney Thompson (Oklahoma)
Ben Juster (UCLA)
Terry O’Shea (Princeton)
Eric Turner (Vanderbilt)

Wild-card standings, with estimated probability of advancing:

Kevin Shen (Berkeley): 15,401 (clinched)
Julia Clark (Harvard): 13,599 (clinched)
Laurie Beckoff (U Chicago):  13,400 (79%)
Tucker Pope (Texas A&M):  11,370 (18%)
Cameron Kim (Duke):  10,800
Kenesha Bennett (Oakwood):  4,400
Sarah Stevens (Delaware):  1,400
James Fulwiler (Temple):  0

The Final Jeopardy! clue for February 13, 2014 (HISTORIC PLACES):

ADMINISTERED BY THE ARMY, ITS 1st GRAVES WERE DUG BY FORMER SLAVE JAMES PARKS, THE ONLY ONE BURIED THERE WHO WAS BORN ON THE SITE

Correct response: What is Arlington National Cemetery?

Leave a Comment

What do you think?