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February 11, 2014

Daily analysis, Tuesday, February 11 – 2014 College Championship, QF #2

2014 College Championship
Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 1 2

In our second throwdown, our competitors are Duke, UCLA, and the University of Chicago.The Final Wager - February 11, 2014

This one’s interesting: Ben has exactly twice Laurie’s score. In normal play, Laurie would wager everything and Ben would stand pat, content with the tie.

Laurie Beckoff (U Chicago): 8,200
Ben Juster (UCLA): 16,400
Cameron Kim (Duke University): 5,400

The Final Jeopardy! category: SOCIAL MEDIA

In this case, Ben should wager the dollar to try to win outright. In a category like SOCIAL MEDIA, it seems likely that all three players will go the same way: all right or all wrong.

Ben wagered zero and Laurie held back, so he’s moving on.

Each day I’ll update the standings with my estimated chances of advancing for the wild-card candidates. These are based on past data compiled for my tutorial.

Quarterfinal winners:

Whitney Thompson (University of Oklahoma)
Ben Juster (UCLA)

Wild-card standings, with estimated probability of advancing:

Laurie Beckoff (U Chicago):  13,400 (73%)
Cameron Kim (Duke University):  10,800 (13%)
Sarah Stevens (University of Delaware):  1,400 (~0%)
James Fulwiler (Temple University):  0 (~0%)

The Final Jeopardy! clue for February 11, 2014 (SOCIAL MEDIA):

THE MOST RETWEETED TWEET OF ALL TIME HAPPENED ON NOVEMBER 6, 2012 & STARTED WITH “FOUR” & ENDED WITH THESE 2 WORDS

Correct response: What is “more years”?

One Comment
  1. Nate permalink

    > In a category like SOCIAL MEDIA, it seems likely that all three players will go the same way: all right or all wrong.

    It’s been at least 10 years since I was a regular Jeopardy viewer, but my impression has been that the Final Jeopardys in college tournaments, especially near the beginning, are much easier than regular Jeopardy and much more likely for all three players to go the same way. Obviously it’s held true this week (so far), but I was wondering if you have the data and/or consistency of viewership to know whether that’s actually true in general.

What do you think?