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February 3, 2014

Daily analysis, Monday, February 3 – Battle of the Decades game 1

Battle of the Decades – preliminary round
1980s 1990s 2000s
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
knockout rounds

Be sure to check out my pre-game analysis.

No Arthur tonight, but we do have his Patron Saint, Chuck Forrest, the originator of the “bounce” technique across the board. Will he continue to use it?The Final Wager - February 3, 2014

True to my prediction, India and Chuck went at it, leaving Jim in the dust. Chuck shied away from The Forrest Bounce in Double Jeopardy!, allowing India to capture both Daily Doubles.

India Cooper: 18,500
Chuck Forrest: 16,700
Jim Scott: 3,200

The Final Jeopardy! category: PRESIDENTS & FIRST LADIES

Here’s what each player should do.

India should wager 14,901 to beat Chuck by a dollar. (Remember, there’s no tying in tournaments!)

Chuck should wager no more than 10,299 to stay above Jim regardless. To cover an irrational wager by India, he should put up at least 3,600.

Jim needs to wager at least 400 to have a shot against a rational wager by India, so he might as well put all of his money on the line.

Chuck has shown a propensity to wager everything when trailing, and he did so again here.

India’s wager is needlessly reckless, putting her at risk to losing to a rational wager and an incorrect response by Jim. More about process than outcome, certainly, but there’s no need to wager more than necessary to advance.

Here’s what would have happened had Jim wagered the bare minimum and everyone missed:

Note that with a proper wager, India stays above Jim’s pre-Final total, forcing him to respond correctly to have any chance.

The Final Jeopardy! clue for February 3, 2014 (PRESIDENTS & FIRST LADIES):

THE ONLY FOREIGN-BORN FIRST LADY WAS THE WIFE OF THIS MAN WHO SERVED IN THE DIPLOMATIC CORPS FROM AGE 14

Correct response: Who is John Quincy Adams?

2 Comments
  1. I’m not sure of the structure of this tournament, but isn’t it irrelevant who comes in 2nd vs 3rd?

    • Kelly permalink

      Yes, 2nd vs. 3rd position is irrelevant in this tournament (until we get to the final round) – everyone eliminated in the preliminaries goes home with $5,000 regardless of where they finish.

What do you think?