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January 23, 2014

Daily analysis, Thursday, January 23

I’m back on video! Let’s see what we have to discuss.The Final Wager - January 23, 2014

We’ve got a potential mind-game situation here for our two challengers, with Karen serving as potential spoiler.

Karen Ruckert: 3,600
Jennifer Cross Miller: 8,600
Chip Bell: 9,000

The Final Jeopardy! category: NOTABLE NAMES

Here’s what each player should do.

Chip, should he feel confident in his changes on this category, is best off wagering 8,200.

Jennifer should wager 400 to cover a zero wager by Chip, but no more than 1,400 so as not to fall below a double-up by Karen. More on this in a bit.

Karen should wager no more than 2,800 to stay above Chip should he go for the lock-out and they miss.

In Part Five of my tutorial, I discussed situations in which players might play “mind games” with one another. If Chip thinks Jennifer might go for her “logical” range – no more than 1,400 – he might wager 1,000 to cover her. This is known as “Shore’s Conjecture” and rarely comes into play, because few second-place players wager this small amount.

For her part, Jennifer can restrict her wager to no more than 600 in case Chip does this. Is your head spinning yet?

Lo and behold, all three players went too big. Had Chip also missed, we would have had co-champions, each with a whopping $700.

The Final Jeopardy! clue for January 23, 2014 (NOTABLE NAMES):

DURING A JUBILEE CELEBRATION IN 2003, HE BECAME THE FIRST FOREIGNER TO BE MADE AN HONORARY CITIZEN OF NEPAL

Correct response: Who is Sir Edmund Hillary?

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